Five Best Games of Each Week as Projected by FPI

I plugged ESPN’s recently released projected FPI ratings into my model and this is what it came up with as the best games to watch each week.

This is not a list of the “biggest” games or most important or anything like that. It’s what my spreadsheet predicts will be the most fun to watch. Also, my spreadsheet doesn’t like when one team is rated a lot higher than the other, thus Clemson doesn’t appear on this list but once. FPI thinks they’re going to beat the pants off everybody.

I also took an average rating of the top five games from each week and ranked the weeks. This will be a good tool to help you decide if you’re going to take that trip to your cousin’s fall wedding or not.

College Football Game Weeks Ranked

  1. Week 11 (11/6-11/10)
  2. Week 13 (11/20-11/24)
  3. Week 1 (8/30-9/3)
  4. Week 5 (9/27-9/29)
  5. Week 7 (10/9-10/13)
  6. Week 10 (10/30-11/3)
  7. Week 9 (10/23-10/27)
  8. Week 6 (10/4-10/6)
  9. Week 4 (9/20-9/22)
  10. Week 3 (9/13-9/15)
  11. Week 12 (11/13-11/17)
  12. Week 8 (10/18-10/20)
  13. Week 2 (9/7-9/8)

The rankings below in parenthesis are from FPI.

WEEK 0

(Not much to choose from)

  • Wyoming (#87) at New Mexico St. (#110)
  • Hawai’i (#126) at Colorado St. (#105)

WEEK 1

  • Auburn (#7) vs. Washington (#6) (in Atlanta)
  • Michigan (#11) at Notre Dame (#5)
  • Virginia Tech (#22) at Florida St. (#18)
  • LSU (#26) vs. Miami (#14) (in Arlington)
  • Ole Miss (#45) vs. Texas Tech (#39) (in Houston)

WEEK 2

  • USC (#15) at Stanford (#13)
  • Duke (#30) at Northwestern (#31)
  • Clemson (#1) at Texas A&M (#19)
  • Iowa St. (#41) at Iowa (#25)
  • Fresno St. (#63) at Minnesota (#60)

WEEK 3

  • USC (#15) at Texas (#17)
  • Boston College (#34) at Wake Forest (#38)
  • West Virginia (#36) at NC State (#43)
  • Duke (#30) at Baylor (#40)
  • LSU (#26) at Auburn (#7)

WEEK 4

  • Texas A&M (#19) at Alabama (#2)
  • Stanford (#13) at Oregon (#23)
  • Wisconsin (#12) at Iowa (#25)
  • K-State (#44) at West Virginia (#36)
  • Boston College (#34) at Purdue (#47)

WEEK 5

  • Ohio St. (#4) at Penn St. (#8)
  • Stanford (#13) at Notre Dame (#5)
  • Florida (#21) at Mississippi St. (#16)
  • Oregon (#23) at Cal (#27)
  • Virginia Tech (#22) at Duke (#30)

WEEK 6

  • Florida St. (#18) at Miami (#14)
  • Auburn (#7) at Mississippi St. (#16)
  • Oklahoma (#9) vs. Texas (#17) (in Dallas)
  • Utah (#32) at Stanford (#13)
  • Missouri (#29) at South Carolina (#28)

WEEK 7

  • Michigan St. (#10) at Penn St. (#8)
  • Wisconsin at Michigan (#11)
  • Texas A&M (#19) at South Carolina (#28)
  • Louisville (#35) at Boston College (#34)
  • Duke (#30) at Georgia Tech (#24)

WEEK 8

  • Michigan (#11) at Michigan St. (#10)
  • Mississippi St. (#16) at LSU (#26)
  • Oklahoma (#9) at TCU (#33)
  • USC (#15) at Utah (#32)
  • Wake Forest (#38) at Florida St. (#18)

WEEK 9

  • Texas (#17) at Oklahoma St. (#20)
  • Texas A&M (#19) at Mississippi St. (#16)
  • Miami (#14) at Boston College (#34)
  • Georgia Tech (#24) at Virginia Tech (#22)
  • Texas Tech (#39) at Iowa St. (#41)

WEEK 10

  • Penn St. (#8) at Michigan (#11)
  • Stanford (#13) at Washington (#6)
  • Texas A&M (#19) at Auburn (#7)
  • Duke (#30) at Miami (#14)
  • Missouri (#29) at Florida (#21)

WEEK 11

  • Auburn (#7) at Georgia (#3)
  • Ohio St. (#4) at Michigan St. (#10)
  • Wisconsin (#12) at Penn St. (#8)
  • Mississippi St. (#16) at Alabama (#2)
  • Oklahoma St. (#20) at Oklahoma (#9)

WEEK 12

  • Miami (#14) at Virginia Tech (#22)
  • Stanford (#13) at Cal (#27)
  • TCU (#33) at Baylor (#40)
  • Texas Tech (#39) at K-State (#44)
  • NC State (#43) at Louisville (#35)

WEEK 13

  • Auburn (#7) at Alabama (#2)
  • Michigan (#11) at Ohio St. (#4)
  • Notre Dame (#5) at USC (#15)
  • Florida (#21) at Florida St. (#18)
  • LSU (#26) at Texas A&M (#19)
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New Year’s Bowl Game Viewing Guide

Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, California

Times AZ and Eastern.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

What I’m going to watch…

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29 – MORNING

Belk Bowl : Texas A&M vs. Wake Forest
11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29 – MIDDAY

Sun Bowl : Arizona St. vs. #24 NC State
1:00/3:00 PM, CBS

Music City Bowl : Kentucky vs. #21 Northwestern
2:30/4:30 PM, CBS

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29 – AFTERNOON/PRIME TIME

Arizona Bowl : New Mexico St. vs. Utah St.
3:30/5:30 PM, CBSSN

Cotton Bowl Classic : #5 Ohio St. vs. #8 USC
6:30/8:30 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30 – MORNING

Gator Bowl : Louisville vs. #23 Mississippi St.
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

Liberty Bowl : Iowa St. at #20 Memphis
10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ABC

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30 – AFTERNOON/PRIME TIME

Fiesta Bowl : #9 Penn St. vs. #11 Washington
2:00/4:00 PM, ESPN

Orange Bowl : #6 Wisconsin at #10 Miami
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

MONDAY, JANUARY 1 – MORNING

Peach Bowl : #7 Auburn vs. #12 UCF
10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ESPN

Citrus Bowl : #17 LSU vs. #14 Notre Dame
11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ABC

Hall of Fame Bowl : Michigan vs. South Carolina
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN2

MONDAY, JANUARY 1 – AFTERNOON/PRIME TIME

The Rose Bowl Game (Semi-Final) : #3 Georgia vs. #2 Oklahoma
3:00/5:00 PM, ESPN

Sugar Bowl (Semi-Final) : #4 Alabama vs. #1 Clemson
6:45/8:45 PM, ESPN

Christmas Week Bowl Game Viewing Guide

Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas – Home of the Alamo Bowl

Times AZ and Eastern.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

What I’m going to watch…

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 24

Hawai’i Bowl : Fresno St. vs. Houston
6:30/8:30 PM, ESPN

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 26

Heart of Dallas Bowl: Utah vs. West Virginia
11:30 AM/1:30 PM, ESPN

Quick Lane Bowl: Duke vs. Northern Illinois
3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Copper Bowl : Kansas St. vs. UCLA
7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27 – MORNING/AFTERNOON

Independence Bowl: Florida St. vs. Southern Miss
11:30 AM/1:30 PM, ESPN

Pinstripe Bowl : Boston College vs. Iowa
3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27 – PRIME TIME

San Fransisco Bowl Bowl: Arizona vs. Purdue
6:30/8:30 PM, FOX

Texas Bowl : Missouri vs. Texas
7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 28 – MORNING/AFTERNOON

Military Bowl : Virginia at Navy
11:30 AM/1:30 PM, ESPN

Camping World Bowl : #19 Oklahoma St. vs. #22 Virginia Tech
3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 28 – PRIME TIME

Alamo Bowl : #13 Stanford vs. #15 TCU
7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Holiday Bowl: #16 Michigan St. vs. #18 Washington St.
7:00/9:00 PM, FS1

Pre-Christmas Bowl Game Viewing Guide

Las Vegas Bowl, Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada

Times AZ and Eastern.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

What I’m going to watch…

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16 – MORNING

New Orleans Bowl : North Texas vs. Troy
11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16 – MIDDAY

Las Vegas Bowl: #25 Boise St. vs. Oregon
1:30/3:30 PM, ABC

New Mexico Bowl : Colorado St. vs. Marshall
2:30/4:30 PM, ESPN

Cure Bowl : Georgia St. vs. Western Kentucky
12:30/2:30 PM, CBSSN

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16 – PRIME TIME

Camellia Bowl : Arkansas St. vs. Middle Tennessee
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19

Boca Raton Bowl : Akron at Florida Atlantic
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 20

Frisco Bowl: Louisiana Tech vs. SMU
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21

St. Petersburg Bowl: Florida International vs. Temple
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 22

Bahamas Bowl: Ohio vs. UAB
10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ESPN

Humanitarian Bowl: Central Michigan vs. Wyoming
2:00/4:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23

Birmingham Bowl: South Florida vs. Texas Tech
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. San Diego St.
1:30/3:30 PM, ESPN

Mobile Alabama Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. Toledo
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

The Best of College Football’s Bowl Games 2017-18

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ – Site of the Fiesta Bowl

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 2 5 1
2 Ohio St. 1 6 2
3 Georgia 3 2 5
4 Clemson 7 1 3 +1
5 Penn St. 5 9 4 +1
6 Oklahoma 8 3 7 +3
7 Washington 4 8 8 +1
8 Auburn 10 4 6 -4
9 Wisconsin 6 7 9 -2
10 Notre Dame 14 11 10
11 Oklahoma St. 11 13 12 +2
12 TCU 13 14 11
13 UCF 9 10 21 +1
14 Miami 19 15 15 -3
15 USC 22 17 14 N/A

Dropped from rankings: Stanford

WEEK 14 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 7-1 .875 3-0 1.000
Overall 105-67 .610 18-19 .486

Times AZ and Eastern. Picks in CAPS.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

BOWL OF THE YEAR 

The Rose Bowl Game (Playoff Semi-Final) : #3 GEORGIA vs. #2 Oklahoma
Mon., Jan. 1, 3:00/5:00 PM, ESPN

FIVE-STAR BOWLS 

Fiesta Bowl : #9 Penn St. vs. #11 WASHINGTON
Sat., Dec. 30, 2:00/4:00 PM, ESPN

Sugar Bowl (Playoff Semi-Final) : #4 ALABAMA* vs. #1 Clemson
Mon., Jan. 1, 6:45/8:45 PM, ESPN

FOUR-STAR BOWLS 

Peach Bowl : #7 Auburn vs. #12 UCF*
Mon., Jan. 1, 10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ESPN

Alamo Bowl : #13 Stanford vs. #15 TCU
Thu., Dec. 28, 7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Camping World Bowl : #19 OKLAHOMA ST. vs. #22 Virginia Tech
Thu., Dec. 28, 3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Orange Bowl : #6 WISCONSIN at #10 Miami
Sat., Dec. 30, 6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

Gator Bowl : LOUISVILLE* vs. #23 Mississippi St.
Sat., Dec. 30, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

Citrus Bowl : #17 LSU vs. #14 NOTRE DAME
Mon., Jan. 1, 11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ABC

Holiday Bowl: #16 MICHIGAN ST. vs. #18 Washington St.
Thu., Dec. 28, 7:00/9:00 PM, FS1

Pinstripe Bowl : Boston College vs. IOWA
Wed., Dec. 27, 3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Liberty Bowl : Iowa St. at #20 MEMPHIS
Sat., Dec. 30, 10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ABC

Cotton Bowl Classic : #5 OHIO ST. vs. #8 USC
Fri., Dec. 29, 6:30/8:30 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR BOWLS 

Las Vegas Bowl: #25 BOISE ST. vs. Oregon
Sat., Dec. 16, 1:30/3:30 PM, ABC

Sun Bowl: Arizona St. vs. #24 NC STATE
Fri., Dec. 29, 1:00/3:00 PM, CBS

Birmingham Bowl: SOUTH FLORIDA vs. Texas Tech
Sat., Dec. 23, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

San Francisco Bowl Bowl: Arizona vs. PURDUE*
Wed., Dec. 27, 6:30/8:30 PM, FOX

Belk Bowl : Texas A&M vs. WAKE FOREST
Fri., Dec. 29, 11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ESPN

Texas Bowl : MISSOURI vs. Texas
Wed., Dec. 27, 7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Heart of Dallas Bowl: UTAH vs. West Virginia
Tue., Dec. 26, 11:30 AM/1:30 PM, ESPN

Copper Bowl : KANSAS ST. vs. UCLA
Tue., Dec. 26, 7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Hawai’i Bowl : FRESNO ST.* vs. Houston
Sun., Dec. 24, 6:30/8:30 PM, ESPN

Hall of Fame Bowl: MICHIGAN vs. South Carolina
Mon., Jan. 1, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN2

Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. SAN DIEGO ST.
Sat., Dec. 23, 1:30/3:30 PM, ESPN

Quick Lane Bowl: Duke vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS*
Tue., Dec. 26, 3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Mobile Alabama Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. TOLEDO
Sat., Dec. 23, 5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

*Upset pick

Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Week 14 – Championship Week

Mercedes Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 2 5 1
2 Ohio St. 1 9 2 +3
3 Georgia 4 4 6 -1
4 Auburn 7 2 5 -1
5 Clemson 10 1 4 -1
6 Penn St. 6 8 3 +2
7 Wisconsin 3 6 8 -1
8 Washington 5 7 7 +2
9 Oklahoma 9 3 9 -2
10 Notre Dame 14 11 10 +1
11 Miami 12 10 14 -1
12 TCU 13 13 11
13 Oklahoma St. 11 15 13 +1
14 UCF 8 12 20 -1
15 Stanford 27 14 12 N/A

WEEK 13 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 11-7 .611 3-2 .600
Overall 98-66 .598 15-19 .441

Times AZ and Eastern. Picks in CAPS.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

SEC Championship Game: #2 Auburn vs. #6 GEORGIA*
Sat., Dec. 2, 2:00/4:00 PM, CBS

FIVE-STAR GAME

Big Ten Championship Game: #8 OHIO ST.* vs. #4 Wisconsin
Sat., Dec. 2, 6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

FOUR-STAR GAMES

Big 12 Championship Game: #3 OKLAHOMA vs. #11 TCU
Sat., Dec. 2, 10:30 AM/12:30 PM, FOX

Pac-12 Championship Game: #12 Stanford vs. #10 USC
Fri., Dec. 1, 6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

ACC Championship Game: #1 CLEMSON vs. #7 Miami
Sat., Dec. 2, 6:00/8:00 PM, ABC

THREE-STAR GAMES

American Championship Game: #20 Memphis at #14 UCF
Sat., Dec. 2, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ABC

Troy at ARKANSAS ST.
Sat., Dec. 2, 5:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2

Mountain West Championship Game: #25 Fresno St. at BOISE ST.*
Sat., Dec. 2, 5:45/7:45 PM, ESPN

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

FRIDAY

Pac-12 Championship Game: #12 Stanford vs. #10 USC
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY MORNING

Big 12 Championship Game: #3 Oklahoma vs. #11 TCU
10:30 AM/12:30 PM, FOX

American Championship Game: #20 Memphis at #14 UCF
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ABC

Conference USA Championship Game: North Texas at Florida Atlantic
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MIDDAY

SEC Championship Game: #2 Auburn vs. #6 Georgia
2:00/4:00 PM, CBS

South Alabama at New Mexico St.
2:30/4:30 PM, ESPN3

Louisiana at Appalachian St.
12:30/2:30 PM, ESPN3

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

Big Ten Championship Game: #8 Ohio St. vs. #4 Wisconsin
6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

ACC Championship Game: #1 Clemson vs. #7 Miami
6:00/8:00 PM, ABC

Troy at Arkansas St.
5:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2

 

College Football Playoff Prediction Flowchart

Using FiveThirtyEight’s playoff prediction tool, I made a flowchart with all of the possible outcomes of the Power 5 conference championship games listing the four teams given the highest probability of going to the Playoff. (The Pac-12’s conference championship game was insignificant to the results and therefore excluded.)

You’ll want to click on it so you can zoom in. (Sorry about the watermark; I’m cheap.)