Week 5 Picks

Week 4 Recap

  1. NC State got robbed. Not of a win, but of a chance to win. Had that play not been ruled out of bounds, NC State would have scored, making the score 13-13. Assuming they hit the PAT, the Wolfpack would have had the lead with a quarter and a half to go. Who knows if they would have held on, but at least they would have had a chance. Instead, a few plays later, NC State fumbled and Clemson recovered, which resulted in a Clemson TD and a win for the Tigers.

    In no other sport can a single play make such a difference in the result of a game. Momentum plays such a huge factor in college football that this one play could have changed the result of the game and potentially the BCS picture at the end of the season.

  2. I could not even recognize the Arizona State team that came out in the first half against Stanford. The Devils then looked like their old selves in the second half, but by then it was too late.

    Would the game have gone in an entirely different direction without the early INT thrown by Taylor Kelly? See above regarding momentum.

  3. It’s been a while since we’ve seen a solid team (in my opinion) play to the level of their opponents quite like Michigan has done this year (see ND, Akron, UConn). But hey, they’re 4-0. What are you going to do?
  4. I love that Fresno State is undefeated.
  5. Texas won! Who’da guessed?

Week 5 Picks

Last week: 17-4 (.810), Overall: 58-13 (.817)

    1. Ole Miss is much improved, but even the #1 recruit in the nation won’t be enough this week in Tuscaloosa.
    2. There’s something about a big Big Ten matchup in the fall that I can’t help but love. I would love for Wisconsin to beat the Buckeyes this weekend, but with Braxton Miller likely back, I don’t see that happening.
    3. UPSET PICK: Georgia over LSU. I’m beginning to notice a pattern here, but I’m a fan of Georgia this year and I think they take care of LSU at home.
    4. UPSET OF THE WEEK: I know this is crazy talk, but I’m taking UCF at home over the Gamecocks. I haven’t seen an overly-impressive performance from USC and UCF might be able to take them by surprise.
    5. Oklahoma hasn’t beaten the Irish since 1956, but they’ve also only played them once this century. I still believe ND is overrated and I think Oklahoma proves it this week.

Picks in BOLD.

No. 21 Ole Miss at No. 1 ALABAMA
California at No. 2 OREGON
Wake Forest at No. 3 CLEMSON
No. 23 Wisconsin at No. 4 OHIO STATE
No. 5 STANFORD at Washington State
No. 6 LSU at No. 9 GEORGIA
No. 8 FLORIDA STATE at Boston College
No. 10 TEXAS A&M at Arkansas
No. 11 OKLAHOMA STATE at West Virginia
No. 12 South Carolina at UCF
No. 14 OKLAHOMA at No. 22 Notre Dame
No. 15 MIAMI (FL) at South Florida
Arizona at No. 16 WASHINGTON
No. 20 FLORIDA at Kentucky
No. 25 FRESNO STATE at Hawaii
USC at ARIZONA STATE
Virginia Tech at GEORGIA TECH
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at Purdue
Arkansas State at MISSOURI
Navy at WESTERN KENTUCKY
Southern Methodist at TCU

Week 4 Picks

Week 3 Recap

I love it when I’m wrong about major underdogs giving a surprise to a top team. Purdue and Akron didn’t win last week, but they definitely gave their respective opponents a run for their money. One of the many reasons I love college football. You never know what’s going to happen.

I believe in UCLA now. That second half performance they put on in Lincoln was incredible.

Texas might lose their games. All of them.

Last week‘s record: 14-3 (.824). Overall: 41-9 (.820).

Week 4 Picks

I added the games of all teams who received even one vote in the AP Poll this week as well as a few other games that I find interesting.

Hopefully, this will be the weakest weekend schedule we see for the rest of the year. It’s not very often that a Pac-12 conference match-up (#23 ASU @ #5 Stanford) is the biggest game of the week.

Only two upset picks this week:

  1. The Devils over the Cardinal in Palo Alto.
  2. Michigan State surprises an overrated Notre Dame team in South Bend. I predict a last-minute or overtime win for Sparty. They seem have more crazy finishes than any other program in recent memory (2009, 2010, 2011, 2011 Bowl, 2012).

Picks in BOLD.

Colorado State at No. 1 ALABAMA
No. 3 CLEMSON at North Carolina State
No. 23 ARIZONA STATE at No. 5 Stanford
Auburn at No. 6 LSU
Florida International at No. 7 LOUISVILLE
North Texas at No. 9 GEORGIA
Southern Methodist at No. 10 TEXAS A&M
New Mexico State at No. 13 UCLA
No. 15 MICHIGAN at Connecticut
Tennessee at No. 19 FLORIDA
Louisiana-Monroe at No. 20 BAYLOR
MICHIGAN STATE at No. 22 Notre Dame
Purdue at No. 24 WISCONSIN
Texas State at No. 25 TEXAS TECH
BOISE STATE at Fresno State
North Carolina at GEORGIA TECH
Marshall at VIRGINIA TECH
Arkansas at RUTGERS
Kansas State at TEXAS
Utah at BYU
HOUSTON vs. Rice

Wisconsin @ ASU: Whose Fault?

It has taken me four days to process what happened and come to a final resolution on how I feel.

  1. Wisconsin made a really poor choice by placing the ball on the ground instead of handing it to the official responsible for doing that. I don’t care if your intentions were to spot the ball “quicker and cleaner,” it allowed for more room for error by the officials. Furthermore, it caused confusion for the defense who jumped on the ball. I would have done the same thing as a defensive player.
  2. The officials screwed up by not getting things moving more quickly. However, it’s my opinion that the umpire wasn’t sure if it was a downed ball (just like every other person in the stadium) because of his view. Stave was behind a lineman when he took the knee and the umpire most likely couldn’t see. This was exacerbated by the fact that Stave didn’t give the umpire the ball.
  3. While the officials were reprimanded for not displaying “appropriate urgency,” almost none of the Wisconsin players had any sort of a sense of urgency either. In a situation like that, every player has to get back to the line of scrimmage and get set as fast as humanly possible. Even when Stave finally recognizes the fact that the clock has almost expired and snaps the ball, the offense still isn’t set.
  4. And maybe, it’s just that what goes around, comes around.

    …Let me tell you a little story from long, long ago. Sept. 18, 2010, to be exact.

    We are in Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wis. On a third-and-3 play from the Wisconsin 18 in the third quarter, Arizona State QB Steven Threet sees T.J. Simpson open in the end zone. Wisconsin defensive back Niles Brinkley knows he’s beat. So before the ball arrives, he shoves Simpson out of the end zone.

    The side judge, a Big Ten official, is standing there staring at the play. It is textbook pass interference. No judgment is required. There is zero ambiguity. And there is no flag.

    …Wisconsin went on to win 20-19 when it blocked the Sun Devils’ game-tying PAT attempt.

    Wisconsin won in 2010 by cheating. ASU won in 2013 primarily because of mistakes made by Wisconsin. I can feel good about that.

Here’s a great write up with pictures showing the weirdest 18 seconds of football I’ve ever been a part of: Film Study: What went wrong in the final seconds of Wisconsin-Arizona State

Top 25 Picks – Week 3

Last week: 13-2 (.867), overall: 27-6 (.818)

My pity goes out to Kent, Akron, and Purdue. I think they’re going to be in for a rough time.

Thoughts on Week 3:

  1. Bama will not lose to A&M two years in a row. Guaranteed.
  2. Upset of the Week: Nebraska takes down UCLA in the 3rd largest populated area in Nebraska. I’m not a believer in UCLA.
  3. UT’s defense will come out like a bunch of crazy people after losing their DC last week and upset Ole Miss.
  4. Todd Graham and the Devils will surprise the nation on ESPN with their improved rushing defense and beat the Badgers in a close one in Tempe.

Picks in BOLD.

No. 1 ALABAMA at No. 6 Texas A&M
Tennessee at No. 2 OREGON
No. 4 OHIO STATE at California
No. 5 STANFORD at Army
No. 7 LOUISVILLE at Kentucky
Kent State at No. 8 LSU
Nevada at No. 10 FLORIDA STATE
Akron at No. 11 MICHIGAN
Vanderbilt at No. 13 SOUTH CAROLINA
Tulsa at No. 14 OKLAHOMA
No. 16 UCLA at No. 23 NEBRASKA
Western Michigan at No. 17 NORTHWESTERN
No. 19 WASHINGTON at Illinois
No. 20 Wisconsin at ARIZONA STATE
No. 21 NOTRE DAME at Purdue
No. 24 TCU at Texas Tech
No. 25 Ole Miss at TEXAS

How to Have a Chance against Oregon

Stop Punting Against Oregon

If you’re reading this and you know any D-I head coaches that have Oregon on their schedule, pass this along. This idea is courtesy of my dad:

Dear Week 2 Virginia, Tennessee, Cal, Colorado, etc.,

Stop punting against Oregon. They are going to score nearly every time they get the ball. It makes no difference if they have the ball on the -20 or the +30. They are going to find a way to put it in the end zone. You might as well give your offense that extra down to possibly convert and increase your own likelihood of scoring.

Furthermore, since they will score every series, if you don’t convert on fourth down, and they get the ball with good field position, it will actually work to your advantage. They will score sooner and faster, thereby giving you the ball back sooner, again increasing your chances of scoring more points.

Sincerely,
Logical People

Top 25 Picks – Week 2

Results from last week: 14-4 (.778).

I have three upset picks this week:

  1. Georgia will be seeking retribution at home for last week’s close loss to Clemson against South Carolina.
  2. They’re turning on the lights at the Big House for Notre Dame’s visit and I can’t see the Wolverines letting this opportunity slip past them.
  3. Upset of the Week: Miami over Florida – I’m going out on a limb here, but with the game in Miami Gardens and Will Muschamp’s teams often not living up to expectations, I’m taking the Hurricanes.

Picks in BOLD.

No. 2 OREGON at Virginia
San Diego State at No. 3 OHIO STATE
San Jose State at No. 5 STANFORD
No. 6 South Carolina at No. 11 GEORGIA
Eastern Kentucky at No. 8 LOUISVILLE
UAB at No. 9 LSU
No. 12 Florida at MIAMI (FL)
No. 13 OKLAHOMA STATE at UTSA
No. 14 Notre Dame at No. 17 MICHIGAN
No. 15 TEXAS at Brigham Young
West Virginia at No. 16 OKLAHOMA
Syracuse at No. 19 NORTHWESTERN
Southern Miss at No. 22 NEBRASKA
Buffalo at No. 23 BAYLOR
Washington State at No. 25 USC

Agree, disagree, or agree to disagree in the comments.