College Football Week 9 Superlatives

Here are some of the projected best and worst of the upcoming slate of games.

Games of the Week

Power 5 West Virginia at #5 TCU
Group of 5 South Florida at Navy

Best Games Featuring Two Un-Ranked Teams

Power 5 Group of 5
Oregon at Arizona St. South Florida at Navy
Illinois at Penn St. San Diego St. at Colorado St.
Virginia Tech at Boston College East Carolina at UConn
USC at Cal

Overtime Bowls

Most likely to go into overtime / Best Match-Up
Power 5 Illinois at Penn St.
Group of 5 UMass at Ball St.

Blowout Bowls

Most likely to have a huge margin of victory / Worst Match-Up
Power 5 #14 Oklahoma over Kansas
Group of 5 Western Kentucky over Old Dominion

Toilet Bowls

Worst combined ratings of the two teams
Power 5 Texas at Iowa St.
Group of 5 Idaho at New Mexico St.
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Plan Accordingly: Week 9 College Football Viewing Guide

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the highest projected “watchability.” All times AZ.

Thursday Afternoon

West Virginia at #5 TCU* 4:30 PM FS1
North Carolina at #23 Pitt 4:00 PM ESPN
Texas St at Georgia Southern 4:30 PM ESPNU

Thursday Night

Oregon at Arizona St. 7:30 PM ESPN

Friday Afternoon

East Carolina at UConn 4:00 PM ESPNU
Louisville at Wake Forest 4:00 PM ESPN2
Louisiana Tech at Rice 5:00 PM FS1

Friday Night

Wyoming at Utah St. 7:15 PM ESPN2

Saturday Morning

Illinois at Penn St.** 9:00 AM ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College 9:30 AM ESPN3 (streaming)
#19 Ole Miss at Auburn 9:00 AM ESPN

Saturday Midday

#11 Florida vs. Georgia (in Jacksonville) 12:30 PM CBS
USC at California 12:00 PM FOX
#3 Clemson at NC State 12:30 PM ABC

Saturday Afternoon

Miami at #22 Duke 4:00 PM ESPNU
#9 Notre Dame at #21 Temple 5:00 PM ABC
Vanderbilt at #18 Houston 4:00 PM ESPN2

Saturday Night

#8 Stanford at Washington St 7:30 PM ESPN
Arizona at Washington 8:00 PM FS1
Air Force at Hawai’i 7:30 PM CBSSN

*Game of the Week
**Power Five Overtime Bowl

Plan Accordingly: Top Games – Week 9

On paper, this looks to be the weakest week of the year so far. There are no five- OR four-star games. That usually means we’ll see some wild upsets and finishes.

Games are ranked like recruits: 5 stars, 4 stars, and 3 stars. Just like in recruiting, 2-star and 1-star games won’t be given much attention.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, and ESPN’s advanced stats ranking systems.

The percentages below are projected “watchability” percentage scores. This is the likelihood that the game will be “good.” Five-star games will have a percentage of 90% or greater, four-star will be 75-89%, and three-stars will be 55-74%.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 13-3 .813 3-1 .750
Overall 59-33 .641 9-11 .450

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ.

GAME OF THE WEEK

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
West Virginia at #5 TCU 73% Thu. 4:30 PM FS1 TCU

3-Star Games

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#11 Florida vs. Georgia (in Jacksonville) 73% Sat. 12:30 PM CBS UF
North Carolina at #23 Pitt 71% Thu. 4:00 PM ESPN UNC**
USC at Cal 70% Sat. 12:00 PM FOX USC
Oregon at Arizona St. 67% Thu. 7:30 PM ESPN ASU
Illinois at Penn St. 67% Sat. 9:00 AM ESPN2 PSU
Virginia Tech at Boston College 61% Sat. 9:30 AM ESPN3 (Streaming) BC*
#12 Oklahoma St at Texas Tech 59% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPN OSU
#3 Clemson at NC State 56% Sat. 12:30 PM ABC Clemson
Miami at #22 Duke 56% Sat. 4:00 PM ESPNU Duke

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking

Plan Accordingly: Week 8 College Football Viewing Guide

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the highest projected “watchability.” All times AZ.

Tuesday

Louisiana at Arkansas St. 5:00 PM ESPN2

Thursday Afternoon

Georgia Southern at Appalachian St.* 4:30 PM ESPNU
#22 Temple at East Carolina 4:00 PM ESPN2

Thursday Night

#20 Cal at UCLA 6:00 PM ESPN

Friday Afternoon

#18 Memphis at Tulsa 5:00 PM ESPN

Friday Night

Utah St. at San Diego St. 7:30 PM ESPN2

Saturday Morning

Northwestern at Nebraska 9:00 AM ESPN2
Boston College at Louisville 9:30 AM ESPN3 (streaming)
Auburn at Arkansas 9:00 AM SECN

Saturday Midday

Wisconsin at Illinois 12:30 PM BTN
Tennessee at #8 Alabama 12:30 PM CBS
#23 Duke at Virginia Tech 12:30 PM ESPNU

Saturday Afternoon

#3 Utah at USC 4:30 PM FOX
#15 Texas A&M at #24 Ole Miss 4:00 PM ESPN
Western Kentucky at #5 LSU 4:00 PM ESPNU

Saturday Night

Washington at #10 Stanford 7:30 PM ESPN
Colorado at Oregon St.** 7:30 PM PAC12
Wyoming at Boise St. 7:15 PM ESPN2

*Group of 5 Game of the Week
**Power 5 Toilet Bowl of the Week

Plan Accordingly: Top Games – Week 8

UPDATE: The numbers gave some weird results this week. We’ll see how everything pans out.

Games are ranked like recruits: 5 stars, 4 stars, and 3 stars. Just like in recruiting, 2-star and 1-star games won’t be given much attention.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, and ESPN’s advanced stats ranking systems.

The percentages below are projected “watchability” percentage scores. This is the likelihood that the game will be “good.” Five-star games will have a percentage of 90% or greater, four-star will be 75-89%, and three-stars will be 55-74%.

Last week’s picks: 9-8 (.529); Upset picks: 0-4 (.000)

Overall: 46-30 (.605); Upsets: 6-10 (.375)

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ.

GAME OF THE WEEK

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#3 Utah at USC 77% Sat. 4:30 PM FOX USC**

4-Star Game

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#15 Texas A&M at #24 Ole Miss 76% Sat. 4:00 PM ESPN Ole Miss**

3-Star Games

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#20 Cal at UCLA 73% Thu. 6:00 PM ESPN Cal***
Wisconsin at Illinois 71% Sat. 12:30 PM BTN Wisconsin
Tennessee at #8 Alabama 70% Sat. 12:30 PM CBS Bama
Western Kentucky at #5 LSU 70% Sat. 4:00 PM ESPNU LSU
Washington at #10 Stanford 70% Sat. 7:30 PM ESPN Stanford
Northwestern at Nebraska 67% Sat. 9:00 AM ESPN2 Nebraska
#23 Duke at Virginia Tech 65% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPNU Duke***
#9 Florida St. at Georgia Tech 64% Sat. 4:00 PM ESPN2 FSU
Georgia Southern at Appalachian St. 61% Thu. 4:30 PM ESPNU App St.
Boston College at Louisville 61% Sat. 9:30 AM ESPN3 (Streaming) Louisville
Auburn at Arkansas 61% Sat. 9:00 AM SECN Arkansas
#22 Temple at East Carolina 58% Thu. 4:00 PM ESPN2 Temple***
Missouri at Vanderbilt 56% Sat. 1:00 PM SECN Vanderbilt*
#6 Clemson at Miami (FL) 56% Sat. 9:00 AM ABC Clemson

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking

Plan Accordingly: Week 7 College Football Viewing Guide

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the highest projected “watchability.” All times AZ.

Thursday Afternoon

Auburn at Kentucky 4:00 PM ESPN
Western Kentucky at North Texas 4:30 PM CBSSN

Thursday Night

#18 UCLA at #15 Stanford 7:30 PM ESPN

Friday Afternoon

Cincinnati at BYU 5:00 PM ESPN

Friday Night

#21 Boise St. at Utah St. 6:00 PM CBSSN
UNLV at Fresno St. 7:30 PM ESPN2
#24 Houston at Tulane 6:00 PM ESPNU

Saturday Morning

#17 Iowa at #20 Northwestern 9:00 AM ESPN2
Louisville at #11 Florida St. 9:00 AM ESPN
West Virginia at #2 Baylor 9:00 AM FOX

Saturday Midday

#10 Alabama at #9 Texas A&M 12:30 PM CBS
#19 Oklahoma at K-State 12:30 PM ABC
#7 Michigan St. at #12 Michigan 12:30 PM ESPN

Saturday Afternoon

USC at #14 Notre Dame 4:30 PM NBC
#8 Florida at #6 LSU 4:00 PM ESPN
Penn St. at #1 Ohio St. 5:00 PM ABC

Saturday Night

Arizona St. at #4 Utah 7:00 PM ESPN
Oregon at Washington 7:30 PM ESPN2
San Diego St. at San Jose St. 7:30 PM ESPNU

Plan Accordingly: Top Games – Week 7

UPDATE: I included the projected “watchability” percentage scores. This is the likelihood that the game will be “good.” Five-star games will have a percentage of 90% or greater, four-star will be 75-89%, and three-stars will be 55-74%.

Games are ranked like recruits: 5 stars, 4 stars, and 3 stars. Just like in recruiting, 2-star and 1-star games won’t be given much attention.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, and ESPN’s advanced stats ranking systems.

Last week’s picks: 8-1 (.889); Upset picks: 1-0 (1.000)

Overall: 37-22 (.627); Upsets: 6-6 (.500)

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ.

GAME OF THE WEEK

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
USC at #14 Notre Dame 90% Sat. 4:30 PM NBC USC*

4-Star Games

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#10 Alabama at #9 Texas A&M 84% Sat. 12:30 PM CBS Bama
#18 UCLA at #15 Stanford 82% Thu. 7:30 PM ESPN Stanford
#8 Florida at #6 LSU 80% Sat. 4:00 PM ESPN LSU
#7 Michigan St. at #12 Michigan 77% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPN Michigan**
#19 Oklahoma at K-State 76% Sat. 12:30 PM ABC OU

3-Star Games

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#17 Iowa at #20 Northwestern 74% Sat. 9:00 PM ESPN2 Northwestern*
Louisville at #11 Florida St. 73% Sat. 9:00 PM ESPN FSU
Arizona St. at #4 Utah 72% Sat. 7:00 PM ESPN ASU*
Virginia Tech at Miami 70% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPNU Miami
Pitt at Georgia Tech 68% Sat. 9:30 PM ESPN+ / ESPN3 GT
Oregon at Washington 68% Sat. 7:30 PM ESPN2 U-Dub
Vanderbilt at South Carolina 60% Sat. 1:00 PM SECN Vandy*
Louisiana Tech at Mississippi St. 59% Sat. 9:00 AM SECN MSU
Nebraska at Minnesota 58% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPN2 Minnesota
Auburn at Kentucky 58% Thu. 4:00 PM ESPN Auburn
West Virginia at #2 Baylor 57% Sat. 9:00 AM FOX Baylor

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking