Plan Accordingly: Top Games – Week 7

UPDATE: I included the projected “watchability” percentage scores. This is the likelihood that the game will be “good.” Five-star games will have a percentage of 90% or greater, four-star will be 75-89%, and three-stars will be 55-74%.

Games are ranked like recruits: 5 stars, 4 stars, and 3 stars. Just like in recruiting, 2-star and 1-star games won’t be given much attention.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, and ESPN’s advanced stats ranking systems.

Last week’s picks: 8-1 (.889); Upset picks: 1-0 (1.000)

Overall: 37-22 (.627); Upsets: 6-6 (.500)

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ.

GAME OF THE WEEK

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
USC at #14 Notre Dame 90% Sat. 4:30 PM NBC USC*

4-Star Games

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#10 Alabama at #9 Texas A&M 84% Sat. 12:30 PM CBS Bama
#18 UCLA at #15 Stanford 82% Thu. 7:30 PM ESPN Stanford
#8 Florida at #6 LSU 80% Sat. 4:00 PM ESPN LSU
#7 Michigan St. at #12 Michigan 77% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPN Michigan**
#19 Oklahoma at K-State 76% Sat. 12:30 PM ABC OU

3-Star Games

GAME % DAY TIME TV PICK
#17 Iowa at #20 Northwestern 74% Sat. 9:00 PM ESPN2 Northwestern*
Louisville at #11 Florida St. 73% Sat. 9:00 PM ESPN FSU
Arizona St. at #4 Utah 72% Sat. 7:00 PM ESPN ASU*
Virginia Tech at Miami 70% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPNU Miami
Pitt at Georgia Tech 68% Sat. 9:30 PM ESPN+ / ESPN3 GT
Oregon at Washington 68% Sat. 7:30 PM ESPN2 U-Dub
Vanderbilt at South Carolina 60% Sat. 1:00 PM SECN Vandy*
Louisiana Tech at Mississippi St. 59% Sat. 9:00 AM SECN MSU
Nebraska at Minnesota 58% Sat. 12:30 PM ESPN2 Minnesota
Auburn at Kentucky 58% Thu. 4:00 PM ESPN Auburn
West Virginia at #2 Baylor 57% Sat. 9:00 AM FOX Baylor

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking

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