Now that we have clarity on conference champions/championships, I’m going to apply some logic to the Playoff rankings from last week. The rankings will have some movement tomorrow, but we can take a look today at a set of rankings that actually means something.
The Committee has, in so many words, said that conference championships are one of the most important factors in deciding who’s in the Playoff. Therefore, it’s my belief that you must either win your conference, get second place, or that your only conference loss must be to the conference champion (better explanation here).
Here’s who is I believe should be eligible for the playoff and why.
- Clemson – Undefeated/possible ACC champion
- Alabama – Possible SEC champion
- Oklahoma – Big 12 Champion
- Iowa – Undefeated/possible Big Ten champion
- Michigan St. – Possible Big Ten champion
- Notre Dame – Because Notre Dame. And their two losses are to possible conference champions.
- Ohio St. – Their only conference loss was to Michigan St. (their division’s conference championship game representative)
- Stanford – Possible Pac-12 champion
- Florida – Possible SEC champion
- North Carolina – Possible ACC champion
- Navy – Only conference loss was to Houston (their division’s CCG representative)
- Temple – Possible AAC champion
No other teams matter. Obviously a four-loss USC or a runner-up in a G5 conference is not going to be in the Playoff. This is simply a list of those who were ranked and should be eligible for the final four.
My prediction: Clemson, Bama, OU, Michigan St.