College Football Playoff Ranking Using Advanced Stats – Week 12

This is what the College Football Playoff rankings would look like if the committee was comprised of the advanced stat ratings by Bill Connelly, Brian Fremeau, and ESPN. I applied the Committee’s voting process with a small amount of human intervention:

  • Two-loss teams were not included in any listing steps until the top-9 had been ranked.
  • Three-loss teams were not included in any listing steps until all undefeated, one-loss, and two-loss teams from the original consideration list had been exhausted.

TOP FOUR

RK TEAM REC CHG CFP RK
#1 Clemson 10-0 #1
#2 Alabama 9-1 #2
#3 Oklahoma 9-1 #7
#4 Ohio St. 10-0 #3

LOOKING IN

#5 Notre Dame 9-1 #4
#6 Baylor 8-1 #10

THE REST

#7 Florida 9-1 +4 #8
#8 Navy 8-1 +5 #16
#9 Oklahoma St. 10-0 +1 #6
#10 Stanford 8-2 -2 #11
#11 Michigan 8-2 +3 #12
#12 LSU 7-2 -5 #15
#13 Michigan St. 9-1 -1 #9
#14 North Carolina 9-1 +6 #17
#15 TCU 9-1 -6 #18
#16 Florida St. 8-2 #14
#17 Utah 8-2 #13
#18 Mississippi St. 7-3 -3 N/A
#19 Iowa 10-0 -1 #5
#20 UCLA 7-3 -1 N/A
#21 Bowling Green 8-2 UR N/A
#22 Wisconsin 8-2 +2 #25
#23 Houston 10-0 #19
#24 USC 7-3 +1 #24
#25 Ole Miss 7-3 -4 #22

Here’s what the rankings would look like if I applied the process straight-up without regard to the record of any of the teams.

#1 Alabama 9-1
#2 Clemson 10-0
#3 Oklahoma 9-1
#4 Ohio St. 10-0
#5 Notre Dame 9-1
#6 Baylor 8-1
#7 USC 7-3
#8 Stanford 8-2
#9 Ole Miss 7-3
#10 Michigan 8-2
#11 Florida 9-1
#12 LSU 7-2
#13 Navy 8-1
#14 Oklahoma St. 10-0
#15 Tennessee 6-4
#16 Florida St. 8-2
#17 North Carolina 9-1
#18 Mississippi St. 7-3
#19 UCLA 7-3
#20 Michigan St. 9-1
#21 TCU 9-1
#22 Arkansas 6-4
#23 Utah 8-2
#24 West Virginia 5-4
#25 Iowa 10-0

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