Projected Top Games of All of 2016 – Version 1.5

UPDATE 2: I butchered up the rankings really badly the first time. There was an error in my spreadsheet. Rankings have been fixed (and make more sense now!). More than one team could have the same ranking due to ties in the composite ranking.

UPDATE: I added the composite rankings for each team. Remember, the projected game quality is not based on rankings. It’s based on the percentile of the sums and differences of each rating systems values. Those are then averaged to get an overall game rating. For example, #6 at #2 is rated higher than #4 at #1 because, while both games’ have a high percentile sum, the S&P+ ratings have a greater difference between the two teams (4.6 compared to only 2.4 for Bama/LSU). So they both end up being five-star games, but the edge goes to the Bama/LSU game for being a better projected matchup.

ESPN recently updated it’s FPI projections, so I updated the top games as well.

Here is the first version of the 2016’s top games.

Here’s an explanation of the numbers I’m using to rank the games.

The change in the game’s rank is in parenthesis.

TOP 25 GAMES OF 2016

Five-Star Games 

Two new five-star games have been added.

1. #3 Alabama at #1 LSU (–)
Saturday, November 5

2. #3 Clemson at #2 Florida St. (–)
Saturday, October 29

3. #6 Ole Miss at #1 LSU (+10)
Saturday, October 22

4. #3 Alabama at #6 Ole Miss (+8)
Saturday, September 17

5. #6 Tennessee at #11 Georgia (-2)
Saturday, October 1

Four-Star Games 

There were also two new additions to the four-star game list, Stanford/Oregon and Ohio St./Oklahoma.

6. #11 Georgia at #6 Ole Miss (-2)
Saturday, September 24

7. #8 USC at #10 Washington (-2)
Saturday, November 12

8. #8 USC at #11 UCLA (+7)
Saturday, November 19

9. #9 Michigan at #14 Ohio St. (-2)
Saturday, November 26

10. #3 Alabama at #6 Tennessee (+1)
Saturday, October 15

11. #2 Florida St. vs. #6 Ole Miss (in Orlando) (+3)
Monday, September 5, 5 PM, ESPN

12. #14 Notre Dame at #8 USC (-6)
Saturday, November 26

13. #18 Florida vs. #11 Georgia (in Jacksonville) (+5) 
Saturday, October 29, 12:30 PM, CBS

14. #18 Stanford at #11 UCLA (-6)
Saturday, September 24

15. #11 UCLA at #20 Texas A&M (+4)
Saturday, September 3

16. #18 Stanford at #10 Washington (-6)
Saturday, September 30

17. #16 Oklahoma St. at #13 Baylor (–)
Saturday, September 24

18. #8 USC at #18 Stanford (-2)
Saturday, September 17

19. #18 Stanford at #14 Notre Dame (-10)
Saturday, October 15, NBC

20. #20 Texas A&M at #21 Auburn (+1)
Saturday, September 17

21. #18 Stanford at #23 Oregon (N/A)
Saturday, November 12

22. #18 Florida at #22 Arkansas (-2)
Saturday, November 5

23. #3 Alabama vs. #8 USC (in Arlington, TX) (–)
Saturday, September 3

24. #13 Baylor at #3 Oklahoma (–)
Saturday, November 12

25. #14 Ohio St. at #3 Oklahoma (N/A)
Saturday, September 17

 

TOP 20 GROUP OF FIVE GAMES OF 2016

Three-Star Games 

Vandy/WKU was upgraded to a three-star game.

1. #39 BYU at #30 West Virginia
Saturday, September 24

2. #42 Washington St. at #35 Boise St.
Saturday, September 10

3. #39 BYU at #38 Utah
Saturday, September 10

4. #45 Cal at #57 San Diego St.
Saturday, September 10, 7:30 PM, CBSSN

5. #61 Western Michigan at #47 Northwestern
Saturday, September 3

6. #23 Mississippi St. at #39 BYU
Friday, October 14, 6 PM

7. #39 BYU at #28 Michigan St.
Saturday, October 8

8. #39 BYU at #35 Boise St.
Thursday, October 20, 7:15 PM, ESPN

9. #43 South Florida at #51 Syracuse
Saturday, September 17

10. #44 Houston at #64 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 15, ESPN

11. #48 Arizona vs. #39 BYU (in Glendale, AZ)
Saturday, September 3

12. #43 South Florida at #61 Temple
Friday, October 21, ESPN

13. #58 Vanderbilt at #54 Western Kentucky
Saturday, September 24, 12:30 PM

14. #43 South Florida at #64 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 1

15. #11 UCLA at #39 BYU
Saturday, September 17

16. #74 Bowling Green at #71 Toledo
Saturday, October 15

Two-Star Games 

Toledo/WMU was added to the list at #20.

17. #39 BYU at #64 Cincinnati
Saturday, November 5

18. #16 Louisville at #44 Houston
Thursday, November 17, ESPN

19. #63 Appalachian St. at #69 Georgia Southern
Thursday, October 27, 4:30 PM, ESPNU

20. #71 Toledo at #61 Western Michigan
Friday, November 25

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