Most OVERRATED and UNDERRATED teams going into 2016

I took a composite ranking from Bill Connelly’s (S&P+), Brian Fremeau’s (FEI), and ESPN’s (FPI) projected 2016 advanced stats ratings and compared them to the AP preseason poll*. Here are the results.

MOST OVERRATED: #15 HOUSTON

MOST UNDERRATED: MISSISSIPPI ST.

*I assigned rankings to all teams receiving points in the AP poll. For example, Miami got 159 points and was the first team to not get a ranking, so for the purposes of this, I ranked them as AP #26.

Note: I gave the computers a pass on Baylor. They have the Bears ranked #14, but they’re not aware of the off-season drama and understandably have probably overrated them.

MOST OVERRATED

TEAM AP RANK ADV. STATS COMPOSITE RK. DIFF.
Houston #15 #37 +22
TCU #13 #28 +15
Iowa #17 #32 +15
Michigan St. #12 #23 +11
Ohio St. #6 #12 +6

MOST UNDERRATED

TEAM AP RANK ADV. STATS COMPOSITE RK. DIFF.
Mississippi St. N/A (#43) #25 -18
Arkansas N/A (#35) #19 -16
Nebraska N/A (#37) #24 -13
USC #20 #8 -12
Auburn N/A (#33) #22 -11
Georgia #18 #9 -9
Oregon #24 #17 -7
Texas A&M N/A (#27) #21 -6
Ole Miss #11 #6 -5
Washington #14 #10 -4

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