What to Watch – Week 10: The Best of This Week’s College Football Games

Hard Rock Stadium

Hard Rock Stadium

Apologies to the Tuesday and Wednesday night MAC teams for their exclusion from this week’s post.

The formula has been ranking too many games highly that have ended in lopsided margins, so it has been tweaked. The results were unexpected. Some noteworthy games were bumped down (Bama/LSU from 4 to 3 stars, Nebraska/tOSU and Wisconsin/Northwestern from 3 to 2 stars). We shall see how it plays out.

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

See the second half of the post for this week’s viewing guide.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 6-5 .545 2-1 .667
Overall 83-34 .709 16-10 .615

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

PITT* at Miami
Sat., Nov. 5, 9:30 AM, CW?/WatchESPN
Overtime Watch

THREE-STAR GAMES

Iowa at #12 PENN ST.
Sat., Nov. 5, 4:30 PM, BTN
Upset Alert
Note: a composite ranking using the four systems mentioned above puts Penn St. at (22)

UCLA at #15 COLORADO
Thu., Nov. 3, 6:00 PM, FS1
Composite computer top 25: (13) Colorado

#1 ALABAMA at #13 LSU
Sat., Nov. 5, 5:00 PM, CBS
Composite computer top 25: (1) Alabama at (8) LSU

TEXAS at Texas Tech
Sat., Nov. 5, 9:00 AM, FS1

TCU at #17 BAYLOR
Sat., Nov. 5, 12:30 PM, FOX
Composite computer top 25: (16) Baylor

Oregon at USC
Sat., Nov. 5, 4:00 PM, ESPN
Composite computer top 25: (18) USC

Georgia Tech at #21 NORTH CAROLINA
Sat., Nov. 5, 9:30 AM, CW?/WatchESPN
Composite computer top 25: North Carolina unranked

#18 OKLAHOMA ST.*** at K-State
Sat., Nov. 5, 12:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2
Composite computer top 25: Oklahoma St. unranked

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking


VIEWING GUIDE

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the games that are projected to be the most fun to watch. All times AZ.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON

Arkansas St. at Georgia St.
4:30 PM, ESPNU
Toilet Bowl

#14 Oklahoma at Iowa St.
4:30 PM, ESPN
Blowout Warning

Buffalo at Ohio
3:00 PM, CBSSN
Toilet Bowl

THURSDAY NIGHT

UCLA at #15 Colorado
6:00 PM, FS1

FRIDAY AFTERNOON

Central Michigan at Miami-Ohio
3:00 PM, CBSSN
Toilet Bowl

Temple at UConn
4:00 PM, ESPN2

FRIDAY NIGHT

San Jose St. at #24 Boise St.
7:15 PM, ESPN2
Blowout Warning

SATURDAY MORNING

Pitt at Miami 
9:30 AM, CW?/WatchESPN
Game of the Week / Overtime Watch

Texas at Texas Tech
9:00 AM, FS1

Georgia Tech at #21 North Carolina
9:30 AM, CW?/WatchESPN

SATURDAY MIDDAY

TCU at #17 Baylor
12:30 PM, FOX

#18 Oklahoma St. at K-State
12:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2

#11 Florida at Arkansas
12:30 PM, CBS

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

Iowa at #12 Penn St. 
4:30 PM, BTN
Upset Alert

#1 Alabama at #13 LSU 
5:00 PM, CBS

Oregon at USC 
4:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY NIGHT

#5 Washington at Cal
7:30 PM, ESPN
Blowout Warning

Utah St. at Wyoming
7:15 PM, ESPN2

Nevada at New Mexico
7:15 PM, ESPNU
Toilet Bowl

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