What to Watch – Week 11: The Best of This Week’s College Football Games

Kyle Field

Kyle Field

Apologies to the Tuesday and Wednesday night MAC teams for their exclusion from this week’s post.

With A&M’s and Ole Miss’ QBs being out, I deducted 10% from each teams’ ratings. That may not have been enough; it may have been too much. I have no idea how good their backups are. Even with the deduction, the Formula still picked that game as the only four-star game and the game of the week.

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

See the second half of the post for this week’s viewing guide.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 7-2 .778 0-1 .000
Overall 90-36 .714 16-11 .593

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

Ole Miss at #8 TEXAS A&M
Sat., Nov. 12, 5:30 PM, SECN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch
Note: a composite ranking using the four systems mentioned above puts Ole Miss tied for (14) and Texas A&M at (10)

THREE-STAR GAMES

#20 USC at #4 WASHINGTON
Sat., Nov. 12, 5:30 PM, FOX
Composite advanced stats top 25: (14-T) USC vs. (6) Washington

SOUTH FLORIDA at Memphis
Sat., Nov. 12, 5:00 PM, ESPNU
Overtime Watch

#16 WEST VIRGINIA** at Texas
Sat., Nov. 12, 10:00 AM, FS1
Composite advanced stats top 25: (24) West Virginia

Minnesota at #19 NEBRASKA
Sat., Nov. 12, 5:30 PM, BTN
Upset Alert
Composite advanced stats top 25: Nebraska unranked

Baylor at #11 OKLAHOMA
Sat., Nov. 12, 10:00 AM, ABC or ESPN2
Composite advanced stats top 25: (14-T) Oklahoma

Appalachian St. at TROY
Sat., Nov. 12, 1:30 PM, ESPN3 (streaming)
Overtime Watch

STANFORD at Oregon
Sat., Nov. 12, 2:00 PM, PAC12

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking


VIEWING GUIDE

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the games that are projected to be the most fun to watch. All times AZ.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON

#17 North Carolina at Duke
5:30 PM, ESPN

Louisiana-Lafayette at Georgia Southern
5:30 PM, ESPNU
Toilet Bowl

THURSDAY NIGHT

#15 Utah at Arizona St.
7:30 PM, FS1

FRIDAY

Boston College at #18 Florida St.
5:30 PM, ESPN2
Blowout Warning

SATURDAY MORNING

#16 West Virginia at Texas 
10:00 AM, FS1

Baylor at #11 Oklahoma
10:00 AM, ABC or ESPN2

Tulsa at Navy
10:00 AM, CBSSN
Overtime Watch

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Appalachian St. at Troy
1:30 PM, ESPN3 (streaming)
Overtime Watch

Texas Tech at #13 Oklahoma St.
1:30 PM, FS1

Stanford at Oregon
2:00 PM, PAC12

SATURDAY EVENING

Ole Miss at #8 Texas A&M 
5:30 PM, SECN
Game of the Week / Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

#20 USC at #4 Washington 
5:30 PM, FOX

South Florida at Memphis 
5:00 PM, ESPNU
Overtime Watch

SATURDAY NIGHT

Colorado St. at Air Force 
8:15 PM, ESPNU

Cal at #23 Washington St.
8:30 PM, ESPN

#12 Colorado at Arizona
8:00 PM, FS1

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