Category Archives: Plan Accordingly

The 42 Top College Football Games of 2017

Memorial Stadium

There are 42 days until the first kickoff of the 2017 college football season. In honor of today, here are the 42 top games based on my projections using Bill Connelly’s and ESPN’s advanced statistics ratings. (Here’s a lengthy explanation of my process.)

Arizona times given if available.

Week 1 – September 2

Florida vs. Michigan (in Arlington)
12:30 PM, ABC

Alabama vs. Florida St. (in Atlanta)
5:00 PM, ABC

Week 2 – September 9

Auburn at Clemson
4:00 PM, ESPN

Oklahoma at Ohio St.
4:30 PM, ABC

Georgia at Notre Dame
4:30 PM, NBC

Stanford at USC
5:30 PM, FOX

Week 3 – September 16

Clemson at Louisville
12:30 PM

Week 4 – September 23

TCU at Oklahoma St.

Week 5 – September 30

Georgia at Tennessee

Week 6 – October 7

LSU at Florida

Week 7 – October 14

Texas A&M at Florida

Auburn at LSU

Baylor at Oklahoma St.

Oregon at Stanford

Oklahoma vs. Texas (in Dallas)

Week 8 – October 21

USC at Notre Dame
4:30 PM, NBC

Louisville at Florida St.

Michigan at Penn St.

Oklahoma St. at Texas

Oregon at UCLA

North Carolina at Virginia Tech

Week 9 – October 28

Florida vs. Georgia (in Jacksonville)
12:30 PM, CBS

Penn St. at Ohio St.
12:30 PM, FOX

Mississippi St. at Texas A&M

Week 10 – November 4

LSU at Alabama

Clemson at NC State

Texas at TCU

Auburn at Texas A&M

Oregon at Washington

Week 11 – November 10-11

Washington at Stanford
Friday, November 10, 8:30 PM, FS1

Georgia at Auburn
Saturday, November 11

Florida St. at Clemson
Saturday, November 11

Notre Dame at Miami
Saturday, November 11

Week 12 – November 18

Texas A&M at Ole Miss

LSU at Tennessee

UCLA at USC

Michigan at Wisconsin

Week 13 – November 25

Ohio St. at Michigan
10:00 AM, FOX

Alabama at Auburn

Florida St. at Florida

North Carolina at NC State

Notre Dame at Stanford

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Special March Madness First Round Viewing Guide

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the games that are projected to be the most fun to watch. All times AZ.

THURSDAY MORNING

5 Notre Dame vs. 12 Princeton
9:00 AM, CBS

5 Virginia vs. 12 UNC Wilmington
9:30 AM, TruTV
Blowout Warning

4 Butler vs. 13 Winthrop
10:00 AM, TNT
Blowout Warning

THURSDAY LUNCH BREAK

8 Northwestern vs. 9 Vanderbilt
1:20 PM, TBS
Overtime Watch

5 Minnesota vs. 12 Middle Tennessee
12:50 PM, TNT
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

4 Florida vs. 13 East Tennessee St.
12:00 PM, TruTV
Blowout Warning

THURSDAY AFTERNOON

6 Maryland vs. 11 Xavier
3:45 PM, TNT
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

7 St. Mary’s vs. 10 VCU
4:15 PM, TBS

4 Purdue vs. 13 Vermont
4:15 PM, TruTV

THURSDAY NIGHT

8 Wisconsin vs. 9 Virginia Tech
6:30 PM, CBS

5 Iowa St. vs. 12 Nevada
6:55 PM, TruTV

3 Florida St. vs. 14 Florida Gulf Coast
6:15 PM, TNT
Blowout Warning

FRIDAY MORNING

7 Michigan vs. 10 Oklahoma St.
9:00 AM, CBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

8 Arkansas vs. 9 Seton Hall
10:00 AM, TNT
Overtime Watch

3 Baylor vs. 14 New Mexico St.
9:30 AM, TruTV
Blowout Warning

FRIDAY LUNCH BREAK

6 Creighton vs. 11 Rhode Island
1:20 PM, TBS
Upset Alert

6 SMU vs. 11 USC
12:00 PM, TruTV

2 Louisville vs. 15 Jacksonville St.
11:30 PM, CBS
Blowout Warning

FRIDAY AFTERNOON

6 Cincinnati vs. 11 K-State
4:15 PM, TruTV
Upset Alert

7 Dayton vs. 10 Wichita St.
4:00 PM, CBS
Upset Alert

2 Duke vs. 15 Troy
4:15 PM, TBS
Blowout Warning

FRIDAY NIGHT

7 South Carolina vs. 10 Marquette
6:45 PM, TBS
Game of the Round / Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

8 Miami (FL) vs. 9 Michigan St.
6:15 PM, TNT
Overtime Watch

3 UCLA vs. 14 Kent St.
6:55 PM, TruTV
Blowout Warning

What to Watch – Special March Madness First Round Edition

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The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Ken Pomeroy’s, ESPN’s, and Jeff Sagarin’s advanced stats ranking systems.

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE ROUND 

7 South Carolina vs. 10 MARQUETTE
Fri., Mar. 17, 6:45 PM, TBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

FIVE-STAR GAMES

7 MICHIGAN vs. 10 Oklahoma St.
Fri., Mar. 17, 9:00 AM, CBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

MIAMI vs. 9 Michigan St.
Fri., Mar. 17, 6:15 PM, TNT
Overtime Watch

FOUR-STAR GAMES

6 CREIGHTON vs. 11 Rhode Island
Fri., Mar. 17, 1:20 PM, TBS
Upset Alert

8 Northwestern vs. 9 VANDERBILT
Thu., Mar. 16, 1:20 PM, TBS
Overtime Watch

6 Maryland vs. 11 XAVIER
Thu., Mar. 16, 3:45 PM, TNT
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

8 ARKANSAS vs. 9 Seton Hall
Fri., Mar. 17, 10:00 AM, TNT
Overtime Watch

6 CINCINNATI vs. 11 Kansas St.
Fri., Mar. 17, 4:15 PM, TruTV
Upset Alert

5 MINNESOTA vs. 12 Middle Tennessee
Thu., Mar. 16, 12:50 PM, TNT
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

THREE-STAR GAMES

8 WISCONSIN vs. 9 Virginia Tech
Thu., Mar. 16, 6:30 PM, CBS

5 IOWA ST. vs. 12 Nevada
Thu., Mar. 16, 6:55 PM, TruTV

5 NOTRE DAME vs. 12 Princeton
Thu., Mar. 16, 9:00 AM, CBS

7 Dayton vs. 10 WICHITA ST.
Fri., Mar. 17, 4:00 PM, CBS
Upset Alert

7 ST. MARY’S vs. 10 VCU
Thu., Mar. 16, 4:15 PM, CBS


What to Watch: Bowl Game Viewing Guide – New Year’s Edition

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida - Home of the 2017 College Football Playoff National Championship

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida – Home of the 2017 College Football Playoff National Championship

The games are ordered by their on-paper most-likeliness to be a fun-to-watch game with up to three at each time slot. See here for an explanation. If there is no overlap in the games, a simple list is used. All times AZ.

FRIDAY, 12/30

Liberty Bowl: Georgia vs. TCU
10:00 AM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Sun Bowl: North Carolina vs. #18 Stanford
12:00 PM, CBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Music City Bowl: Nebraska vs. #21 Tennessee
1:30 PM, ESPN

Orange Bowl: #11 Florida St. vs. #6 Michigan
6:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY, 12/31

MORNING

Citrus Bowl: #13 Louisville vs. #20 LSU
9:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Gator Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Kentucky
9:00 PM, ESPN

MIDDAY

Peach Bowl: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Washington
1:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff

NIGHT

Fiesta Bowl: #2 Clemson vs. #3 Ohio St.
5:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff / Bowl of the Year / Overtime Watch

MONDAY, 1/2

MORNING

Hall of Fame Bowl: #17 Florida vs. Iowa
11:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Cotton Bowl Classic: #15 Western Michigan vs. #8 Wisconsin
11:00 AM, ESPN
P5/G5 Showdown

AFTERNOON

The Rose Bowl Game: #5 Penn St. vs. #9 USC
3:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

NIGHT

Sugar Bowl: #14 Auburn vs. #7 Oklahoma
6:30 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

MONDAY, 1/9

College Football Playoff National Championship: #1 Alabama vs. #2 Clemson 
6:30 PM, ESPN

What to Watch – After-Christmas Bowl Game Viewing Guide

Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas - Home of the Alamo Bowl

Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas – Home of the Alamo Bowl

The games are ordered by their on-paper most-likeliness to be a fun-to-watch game with up to three at each time slot. See here for an explanation. If there is no overlap in the games, a simple list is used. All times AZ.

MONDAY, 12/26

St. Petersburg Bowl: Miami (OH) vs. Mississippi St.
9:00 AM, ESPN

Quick Lane Bowl: Boston College vs. Maryland
12:30 PM, ESPN
Toilet Bowl / Overtime Watch

Independence Bowl: NC State vs. Vanderbilt
3:00 PM, ESPN2

TUESDAY, 12/27

Heart of Dallas Bowl: Army vs. North Texas
10:00 AM, ESPN
Toilet Bowl

Military Bowl: #24 Temple vs. Wake Forest
1:30 PM, ESPN

Holiday Bowl: Minnesota vs. Washington St.
5:00 PM, ESPN

Cactus Bowl: Baylor vs. Boise St.
8:15 PM, ESPN

WEDNESDAY, 12/28

Pinstripe Bowl: Northwestern vs. #23 Pitt
12:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

Russell Athletic Bowl: Miami vs. #16 West Virginia
3:30 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

NIGHT

Texas Bowl: Kansas St. vs. Texas A&M
7:00 PM, ESPN

San Francisco Bowl: Indiana vs. #19 Utah
6:30 PM, FOX

THURSDAY, 12/29

Birmingham Bowl: South Carolina vs. South Florida
12:00 PM, ESPN

Belk Bowl: Arkansas vs. #22 Virginia Tech
3:30 PM, ESPN

Alamo Bowl: #10 Colorado vs. #12 Oklahoma St.
7:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

What to Watch – Pre-Christmas Bowl Game Viewing Guide

FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida - Home of the Boca Raton Bowl

FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida – Home of the Boca Raton Bowl

The games are ordered by their on-paper most-likeliness to be a fun-to-watch game with up to three at each time slot. See here for an explanation. If there is no overlap in the games, a simple list is used. All times AZ.

SATURDAY, 12/17

MIDDAY

Las Vegas Bowl: Houston vs. San Diego St.
1:30 PM, ABC

New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico vs. UTSA
12:00 PM, ESPN
Toilet Bowl

AFTERNOON

Camellia Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. Toledo
3:30 PM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Cure Bowl: Arkansas St. vs. UCF
3:30 PM, CBSSN

NIGHT

New Orleans Bowl: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Southern Miss
7:00 PM, ESPN
Toilet Bowl

MONDAY, 12/19

Miami Beach Bowl: Central Michigan vs. Tulsa
12:30 PM, ESPN

TUESDAY, 12/20

Boca Raton Bowl: Memphis vs. Western Kentucky
5:00 PM, ESPN
G5 Bowl of the Year

WEDNESDAY, 12/21

Poinsettia Bowl: BYU vs. Wyoming
7:00 PM, ESPN

THURSDAY, 12/22

Humanitarian Bowl: Colorado St. vs. Idaho
5:00 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY, 12/23

Bahamas Bowl: Eastern Michigan vs. Old Dominion
11:00 AM, ESPN
Toilet Bowl / Overtime Watch

Armed Forces Bowl: Louisiana Tech vs. #25 Navy
2:30 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

Mobile Alabama Bowl: Ohio vs. Troy
6:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY, 12/24

Hawai’i Bowl: Hawai’i vs. Middle Tennessee
6:00 PM, ESPN
Toilet Bowl

What to Watch – Bowl Edition

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 3-2 .600 1-0 1.000
Overall 103-43 .705 18-13 .581

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

BOWL OF THE YEAR 

Fiesta Bowl: #2 Clemson vs. #3 OHIO ST.**
Sat., Dec. 31, 5:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff / Overtime Watch

FIVE-STAR BOWL

Sugar Bowl: #14 Auburn vs. #7 OKLAHOMA
Mon., Jan. 2, 6:30 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

FOUR-STAR BOWLS

UPDATE: Changed Sun Bowl pick to UNC.

Citrus Bowl: #13 Louisville vs. #20 LSU**
Sat., Dec. 31, 9:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

The Rose Bowl Game: #5 Penn St. vs. #9 USC**
Mon., Jan. 2, 3:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Sun Bowl: NORTH CAROLINA* vs. #18 Stanford
Fri., Dec. 30, 12:00 PM, CBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Hall of Fame Bowl: #17 Florida vs. IOWA*
Mon., Jan. 2, 11:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Peach Bowl: #1 ALABAMA vs. #4 Washington
Sat., Dec. 31, 1:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #11 Florida St. vs. #6 MICHIGAN
Fri., Dec. 30, 6:30 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR BOWLS 

Alamo Bowl: #10 COLORADO vs. #12 Oklahoma St.
Thu., Dec. 29, 7:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Cotton Bowl Classic: #15 Western Michigan vs. #8 WISCONSIN
Mon., Jan. 2, 11:00 AM, ESPN

Pinstripe Bowl: Northwestern vs. #23 PITT
Wed., Dec. 28, 12:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

Russell Athletic Bowl: MIAMI** vs. #16 West Virginia
Wed., Dec. 28, 3:30 PM, ESPN

Boca Bowl: Memphis vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Tue., Dec. 20, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Camellia Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. TOLEDO
Sat., Dec. 17, 3:30 PM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Liberty Bowl: Georgia vs. TCU*
Fri., Dec. 30, 10:00 AM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Holiday Bowl: Minnesota vs. WASHINGTON ST.
Tue., Dec. 27, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Music City Bowl: Nebraska vs. #21 TENNESSEE
Fri., Dec. 30, 1:30 PM, ESPN

Independence Bowl: NC STATE vs. Vanderbilt
Mon., Dec. 26, 3:00 PM, ESPN2

Texas Bowl: K-State vs. TEXAS A&M
Wed., Dec. 28, 7:00 PM, ESPN

Belk Bowl: Arkansas vs. #22 VIRGINIA TECH
Thu., Dec. 29, 3:30 PM, ESPN

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP POSSIBILITIES

#2 CLEMSON vs. #4 Washington
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

#3 OHIO ST. vs. #4 Washington
Upset Alert

#1 ALABAMA vs. #3 Ohio St.

#1 ALABAMA vs. #2 Clemson

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking