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Five Best Games of Each Week as Projected by FPI

I plugged ESPN’s recently released projected FPI ratings into my model and this is what it came up with as the best games to watch each week.

This is not a list of the “biggest” games or most important or anything like that. It’s what my spreadsheet predicts will be the most fun to watch. Also, my spreadsheet doesn’t like when one team is rated a lot higher than the other, thus Clemson doesn’t appear on this list but once. FPI thinks they’re going to beat the pants off everybody.

I also took an average rating of the top five games from each week and ranked the weeks. This will be a good tool to help you decide if you’re going to take that trip to your cousin’s fall wedding or not.

College Football Game Weeks Ranked

  1. Week 11 (11/6-11/10)
  2. Week 13 (11/20-11/24)
  3. Week 1 (8/30-9/3)
  4. Week 5 (9/27-9/29)
  5. Week 7 (10/9-10/13)
  6. Week 10 (10/30-11/3)
  7. Week 9 (10/23-10/27)
  8. Week 6 (10/4-10/6)
  9. Week 4 (9/20-9/22)
  10. Week 3 (9/13-9/15)
  11. Week 12 (11/13-11/17)
  12. Week 8 (10/18-10/20)
  13. Week 2 (9/7-9/8)

The rankings below in parenthesis are from FPI.

WEEK 0

(Not much to choose from)

  • Wyoming (#87) at New Mexico St. (#110)
  • Hawai’i (#126) at Colorado St. (#105)

WEEK 1

  • Auburn (#7) vs. Washington (#6) (in Atlanta)
  • Michigan (#11) at Notre Dame (#5)
  • Virginia Tech (#22) at Florida St. (#18)
  • LSU (#26) vs. Miami (#14) (in Arlington)
  • Ole Miss (#45) vs. Texas Tech (#39) (in Houston)

WEEK 2

  • USC (#15) at Stanford (#13)
  • Duke (#30) at Northwestern (#31)
  • Clemson (#1) at Texas A&M (#19)
  • Iowa St. (#41) at Iowa (#25)
  • Fresno St. (#63) at Minnesota (#60)

WEEK 3

  • USC (#15) at Texas (#17)
  • Boston College (#34) at Wake Forest (#38)
  • West Virginia (#36) at NC State (#43)
  • Duke (#30) at Baylor (#40)
  • LSU (#26) at Auburn (#7)

WEEK 4

  • Texas A&M (#19) at Alabama (#2)
  • Stanford (#13) at Oregon (#23)
  • Wisconsin (#12) at Iowa (#25)
  • K-State (#44) at West Virginia (#36)
  • Boston College (#34) at Purdue (#47)

WEEK 5

  • Ohio St. (#4) at Penn St. (#8)
  • Stanford (#13) at Notre Dame (#5)
  • Florida (#21) at Mississippi St. (#16)
  • Oregon (#23) at Cal (#27)
  • Virginia Tech (#22) at Duke (#30)

WEEK 6

  • Florida St. (#18) at Miami (#14)
  • Auburn (#7) at Mississippi St. (#16)
  • Oklahoma (#9) vs. Texas (#17) (in Dallas)
  • Utah (#32) at Stanford (#13)
  • Missouri (#29) at South Carolina (#28)

WEEK 7

  • Michigan St. (#10) at Penn St. (#8)
  • Wisconsin at Michigan (#11)
  • Texas A&M (#19) at South Carolina (#28)
  • Louisville (#35) at Boston College (#34)
  • Duke (#30) at Georgia Tech (#24)

WEEK 8

  • Michigan (#11) at Michigan St. (#10)
  • Mississippi St. (#16) at LSU (#26)
  • Oklahoma (#9) at TCU (#33)
  • USC (#15) at Utah (#32)
  • Wake Forest (#38) at Florida St. (#18)

WEEK 9

  • Texas (#17) at Oklahoma St. (#20)
  • Texas A&M (#19) at Mississippi St. (#16)
  • Miami (#14) at Boston College (#34)
  • Georgia Tech (#24) at Virginia Tech (#22)
  • Texas Tech (#39) at Iowa St. (#41)

WEEK 10

  • Penn St. (#8) at Michigan (#11)
  • Stanford (#13) at Washington (#6)
  • Texas A&M (#19) at Auburn (#7)
  • Duke (#30) at Miami (#14)
  • Missouri (#29) at Florida (#21)

WEEK 11

  • Auburn (#7) at Georgia (#3)
  • Ohio St. (#4) at Michigan St. (#10)
  • Wisconsin (#12) at Penn St. (#8)
  • Mississippi St. (#16) at Alabama (#2)
  • Oklahoma St. (#20) at Oklahoma (#9)

WEEK 12

  • Miami (#14) at Virginia Tech (#22)
  • Stanford (#13) at Cal (#27)
  • TCU (#33) at Baylor (#40)
  • Texas Tech (#39) at K-State (#44)
  • NC State (#43) at Louisville (#35)

WEEK 13

  • Auburn (#7) at Alabama (#2)
  • Michigan (#11) at Ohio St. (#4)
  • Notre Dame (#5) at USC (#15)
  • Florida (#21) at Florida St. (#18)
  • LSU (#26) at Texas A&M (#19)
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Which was the best decade/year/program of college football?

Bill Connelly at SB Nation put out a list of the best 50 college football teams since World War II (based on an estimated version of his S&P+ ratings). I was curious to see which decades and years had the most teams in the top 50. Since the 1940s only had five years worth of teams, and the 2010s only have six, their numbers get multiplied accordingly.

The Best* Decades of College Football

The best* decade of college football? The 1970s. Twelve teams from the 1970s made the top-50 list.

1. 1970s – 12 top-50 teams
2. 1940s (5 – doubled to account for the absence of teams from 1940-44)
3. 2010s (5 – multiplied by 1.66 to account for 2016-2019 seasons)
4. 2000s (9)

The Best* Seasons of College Football

Now to which seasons had the most great teams: The best* season of college football since WWII? 2008 with FOUR top-50 teams (Texas, USC, Florida, and Oklahoma).

1. 2008 – 4 top-50 teams
2. 1971, 1977, and 1980 (3)

The Best* Programs of All Time

Finally, which are the best* programs since WWII? Coming in first (no surprise): Alabama with seven top-50 teams.

1. Alabama – seven top-50 teams
2. Oklahoma (6)
3. USC (5)
4. Miami and Nebraska (4)
6. Florida St., Notre Dame, and Texas (3)

*”Best” is defined here as having the most top-50 teams of all time according to Bill Connelly’s rating system.

Who’s Really In? – College Football Playoff Rankings that Matter

Now that we have clarity on conference champions/championships, I’m going to apply some logic to the Playoff rankings from last week. The rankings will have some movement tomorrow, but we can take a look today at a set of rankings that actually means something.

The Committee has, in so many words, said that conference championships are one of the most important factors in deciding who’s in the Playoff. Therefore, it’s my belief that you must either win your conference, get second place, or that your only conference loss must be to the conference champion (better explanation here).

Here’s who is I believe should be eligible for the playoff and why.

  1. Clemson – Undefeated/possible ACC champion
  2. Alabama – Possible SEC champion
  3. Oklahoma – Big 12 Champion
  4. Iowa – Undefeated/possible Big Ten champion
  5. Michigan St. – Possible Big Ten champion
  6. Notre Dame – Because Notre Dame. And their two losses are to possible conference champions.
  7. Ohio St. – Their only conference loss was to Michigan St. (their division’s conference championship game representative)
  8. Stanford – Possible Pac-12 champion
  9. Florida – Possible SEC champion
  10. North Carolina – Possible ACC champion
  11. Navy – Only conference loss was to Houston (their division’s CCG representative)
  12. Temple – Possible AAC champion

No other teams matter. Obviously a four-loss USC or a runner-up in a G5 conference is not going to be in the Playoff. This is simply a list of those who were ranked and should be eligible for the final four.

My prediction: Clemson, Bama, OU, Michigan St.