Tag Archives: championship week

Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Championship Week

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

 

RK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI CHG
1 Alabama 1 1 1
2 Clemson 2 3 2
3 Georgia 3 2 3
4 Oklahoma 4 4 5 +1
5 Michigan 5 9 4 -1
6 Notre Dame 6 6 7
7 Ohio St. 8 7 6
8 Washington 9 8 10 +1
9 Penn St. 11 13 8 +2
10 Mississippi St. 12 11 9 -2
11 UCF 7 5 23 -1
12 Missouri 6 12 12 +5
13 LSU 15 10 16 -1
14 Florida 13 18 13 +4
15 West Virginia 21 15 11 -1
Others: #16 Fresno St., #17 Utah, #18 Iowa, #19 Washington St., #20 Auburn, #21 Texas A&M, #22 Boise St., #23 Utah St., #24 Miami, #25 Texas

MOST OVER-RATED TEAMS BY CFP POLL

  1. #21 Northwestern (26 spots)
  2. #20 Syracuse (18 spots)
  3. #15 Kentucky (13 spots)
  4. #23 Iowa St. (13 spots)
  5. #14 Texas (11 spots)

MOST UNDER-RATED TEAMS BY CFP POLL

  1. #24 Missouri (12 spots)
  2. #25 Fresno St. (9 spots)
  3. #18 Mississippi St. (8 spots)
  4. #12 Penn St. (3 spots)
  5. #11 Washington (3 spots)

BEST TEAMS LEFT OFF CFP POLL

  1. Iowa
  2. Auburn
  3. Utah St.
  4. Miami
  5. Michigan St.

UPSET WATCH

  • #22 Boise State vs. #25 Fresno State

Times AZ and Eastern. Rankings below are CFP.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

Pac-12 Championship Game: #17 Utah vs. #11 Washington
Friday, 6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

OTHER FOUR-STAR GAMES

SEC Championship Game: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Georgia
Saturday, 2:00/4:00 PM, CBS

Mountain West Championship Game: #22 Boise St. vs. #25 Fresno St.
Saturday, 5:45/7:45 PM, ESPN

Big 12 Championship Game: #5 Oklahoma vs. #14 Texas
Saturday, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ABC

THREE-STAR GAMES

Stanford at Cal
Saturday, 1:00/3:00 PM, PAC12

American Conference Championship Game: Memphis vs. #8 UCF
Saturday, 1:30/3:30 PM, ABC

MAC Championship Game: Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois
Friday, 5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN2

Conference USA Championship Game: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB
Saturday, 11:30 AM/1:30 PM, CBSSN


What I’m going to watch…

FRIDAY

Pac-12 Championship Game: #17 Utah vs. #11 Washington
6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

MAC Championship Game: Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MORNING

Big 12 Championship Game: #5 Oklahoma vs. #14 Texas
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ABC

Conference USA Championship Game: Middle Tennessee vs. UAB
11:30 AM/1:30 PM, CBSSN

Marshall at Virginia Tech
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, WatchESPN (streaming)

Sun Belt Championship Game: Appalachian St. vs. Louisiana
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY MIDDAY

SEC Championship Game: #1 Alabama vs. #4 Georgia 
2:00/4:00 PM, CBS

Stanford at Cal
1:00/3:00 PM, PAC12

American Conference Championship Game: Memphis vs. #8 UCF
1:30/3:30 PM, ABC

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

Mountain West Championship Game: #22 Boise St. vs. #25 Fresno St.
5:45/7:45 PM, ESPN

Big Ten Championship Game: #21 Northwestern vs. #6 Ohio St.
6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

ACC Championship Game: #2 Clemson vs. Pitt
6:00/8:00 PM, ABC

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The Best of College Football’s Bowl Games 2017-18

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ – Site of the Fiesta Bowl

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 2 5 1
2 Ohio St. 1 6 2
3 Georgia 3 2 5
4 Clemson 7 1 3 +1
5 Penn St. 5 9 4 +1
6 Oklahoma 8 3 7 +3
7 Washington 4 8 8 +1
8 Auburn 10 4 6 -4
9 Wisconsin 6 7 9 -2
10 Notre Dame 14 11 10
11 Oklahoma St. 11 13 12 +2
12 TCU 13 14 11
13 UCF 9 10 21 +1
14 Miami 19 15 15 -3
15 USC 22 17 14 N/A

Dropped from rankings: Stanford

WEEK 14 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 7-1 .875 3-0 1.000
Overall 105-67 .610 18-19 .486

Times AZ and Eastern. Picks in CAPS.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

BOWL OF THE YEAR 

The Rose Bowl Game (Playoff Semi-Final) : #3 GEORGIA vs. #2 Oklahoma
Mon., Jan. 1, 3:00/5:00 PM, ESPN

FIVE-STAR BOWLS 

Fiesta Bowl : #9 Penn St. vs. #11 WASHINGTON
Sat., Dec. 30, 2:00/4:00 PM, ESPN

Sugar Bowl (Playoff Semi-Final) : #4 ALABAMA* vs. #1 Clemson
Mon., Jan. 1, 6:45/8:45 PM, ESPN

FOUR-STAR BOWLS 

Peach Bowl : #7 Auburn vs. #12 UCF*
Mon., Jan. 1, 10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ESPN

Alamo Bowl : #13 Stanford vs. #15 TCU
Thu., Dec. 28, 7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Camping World Bowl : #19 OKLAHOMA ST. vs. #22 Virginia Tech
Thu., Dec. 28, 3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Orange Bowl : #6 WISCONSIN at #10 Miami
Sat., Dec. 30, 6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

Gator Bowl : LOUISVILLE* vs. #23 Mississippi St.
Sat., Dec. 30, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

Citrus Bowl : #17 LSU vs. #14 NOTRE DAME
Mon., Jan. 1, 11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ABC

Holiday Bowl: #16 MICHIGAN ST. vs. #18 Washington St.
Thu., Dec. 28, 7:00/9:00 PM, FS1

Pinstripe Bowl : Boston College vs. IOWA
Wed., Dec. 27, 3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Liberty Bowl : Iowa St. at #20 MEMPHIS
Sat., Dec. 30, 10:30 AM/12:30 PM, ABC

Cotton Bowl Classic : #5 OHIO ST. vs. #8 USC
Fri., Dec. 29, 6:30/8:30 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR BOWLS 

Las Vegas Bowl: #25 BOISE ST. vs. Oregon
Sat., Dec. 16, 1:30/3:30 PM, ABC

Sun Bowl: Arizona St. vs. #24 NC STATE
Fri., Dec. 29, 1:00/3:00 PM, CBS

Birmingham Bowl: SOUTH FLORIDA vs. Texas Tech
Sat., Dec. 23, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

San Francisco Bowl Bowl: Arizona vs. PURDUE*
Wed., Dec. 27, 6:30/8:30 PM, FOX

Belk Bowl : Texas A&M vs. WAKE FOREST
Fri., Dec. 29, 11:00 AM/1:00 PM, ESPN

Texas Bowl : MISSOURI vs. Texas
Wed., Dec. 27, 7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Heart of Dallas Bowl: UTAH vs. West Virginia
Tue., Dec. 26, 11:30 AM/1:30 PM, ESPN

Copper Bowl : KANSAS ST. vs. UCLA
Tue., Dec. 26, 7:00/9:00 PM, ESPN

Hawai’i Bowl : FRESNO ST.* vs. Houston
Sun., Dec. 24, 6:30/8:30 PM, ESPN

Hall of Fame Bowl: MICHIGAN vs. South Carolina
Mon., Jan. 1, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN2

Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. SAN DIEGO ST.
Sat., Dec. 23, 1:30/3:30 PM, ESPN

Quick Lane Bowl: Duke vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS*
Tue., Dec. 26, 3:15/5:15 PM, ESPN

Mobile Alabama Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. TOLEDO
Sat., Dec. 23, 5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

*Upset pick

Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Week 14 – Championship Week

Mercedes Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 2 5 1
2 Ohio St. 1 9 2 +3
3 Georgia 4 4 6 -1
4 Auburn 7 2 5 -1
5 Clemson 10 1 4 -1
6 Penn St. 6 8 3 +2
7 Wisconsin 3 6 8 -1
8 Washington 5 7 7 +2
9 Oklahoma 9 3 9 -2
10 Notre Dame 14 11 10 +1
11 Miami 12 10 14 -1
12 TCU 13 13 11
13 Oklahoma St. 11 15 13 +1
14 UCF 8 12 20 -1
15 Stanford 27 14 12 N/A

WEEK 13 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 11-7 .611 3-2 .600
Overall 98-66 .598 15-19 .441

Times AZ and Eastern. Picks in CAPS.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

SEC Championship Game: #2 Auburn vs. #6 GEORGIA*
Sat., Dec. 2, 2:00/4:00 PM, CBS

FIVE-STAR GAME

Big Ten Championship Game: #8 OHIO ST.* vs. #4 Wisconsin
Sat., Dec. 2, 6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

FOUR-STAR GAMES

Big 12 Championship Game: #3 OKLAHOMA vs. #11 TCU
Sat., Dec. 2, 10:30 AM/12:30 PM, FOX

Pac-12 Championship Game: #12 Stanford vs. #10 USC
Fri., Dec. 1, 6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

ACC Championship Game: #1 CLEMSON vs. #7 Miami
Sat., Dec. 2, 6:00/8:00 PM, ABC

THREE-STAR GAMES

American Championship Game: #20 Memphis at #14 UCF
Sat., Dec. 2, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ABC

Troy at ARKANSAS ST.
Sat., Dec. 2, 5:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2

Mountain West Championship Game: #25 Fresno St. at BOISE ST.*
Sat., Dec. 2, 5:45/7:45 PM, ESPN

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

FRIDAY

Pac-12 Championship Game: #12 Stanford vs. #10 USC
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY MORNING

Big 12 Championship Game: #3 Oklahoma vs. #11 TCU
10:30 AM/12:30 PM, FOX

American Championship Game: #20 Memphis at #14 UCF
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ABC

Conference USA Championship Game: North Texas at Florida Atlantic
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MIDDAY

SEC Championship Game: #2 Auburn vs. #6 Georgia
2:00/4:00 PM, CBS

South Alabama at New Mexico St.
2:30/4:30 PM, ESPN3

Louisiana at Appalachian St.
12:30/2:30 PM, ESPN3

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

Big Ten Championship Game: #8 Ohio St. vs. #4 Wisconsin
6:00/8:00 PM, FOX

ACC Championship Game: #1 Clemson vs. #7 Miami
6:00/8:00 PM, ABC

Troy at Arkansas St.
5:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2

 

What to Watch – Bowl Edition

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 3-2 .600 1-0 1.000
Overall 103-43 .705 18-13 .581

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

BOWL OF THE YEAR 

Fiesta Bowl: #2 Clemson vs. #3 OHIO ST.**
Sat., Dec. 31, 5:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff / Overtime Watch

FIVE-STAR BOWL

Sugar Bowl: #14 Auburn vs. #7 OKLAHOMA
Mon., Jan. 2, 6:30 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

FOUR-STAR BOWLS

UPDATE: Changed Sun Bowl pick to UNC.

Citrus Bowl: #13 Louisville vs. #20 LSU**
Sat., Dec. 31, 9:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

The Rose Bowl Game: #5 Penn St. vs. #9 USC**
Mon., Jan. 2, 3:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Sun Bowl: NORTH CAROLINA* vs. #18 Stanford
Fri., Dec. 30, 12:00 PM, CBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Hall of Fame Bowl: #17 Florida vs. IOWA*
Mon., Jan. 2, 11:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Peach Bowl: #1 ALABAMA vs. #4 Washington
Sat., Dec. 31, 1:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #11 Florida St. vs. #6 MICHIGAN
Fri., Dec. 30, 6:30 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR BOWLS 

Alamo Bowl: #10 COLORADO vs. #12 Oklahoma St.
Thu., Dec. 29, 7:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Cotton Bowl Classic: #15 Western Michigan vs. #8 WISCONSIN
Mon., Jan. 2, 11:00 AM, ESPN

Pinstripe Bowl: Northwestern vs. #23 PITT
Wed., Dec. 28, 12:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

Russell Athletic Bowl: MIAMI** vs. #16 West Virginia
Wed., Dec. 28, 3:30 PM, ESPN

Boca Bowl: Memphis vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Tue., Dec. 20, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Camellia Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. TOLEDO
Sat., Dec. 17, 3:30 PM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Liberty Bowl: Georgia vs. TCU*
Fri., Dec. 30, 10:00 AM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Holiday Bowl: Minnesota vs. WASHINGTON ST.
Tue., Dec. 27, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Music City Bowl: Nebraska vs. #21 TENNESSEE
Fri., Dec. 30, 1:30 PM, ESPN

Independence Bowl: NC STATE vs. Vanderbilt
Mon., Dec. 26, 3:00 PM, ESPN2

Texas Bowl: K-State vs. TEXAS A&M
Wed., Dec. 28, 7:00 PM, ESPN

Belk Bowl: Arkansas vs. #22 VIRGINIA TECH
Thu., Dec. 29, 3:30 PM, ESPN

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP POSSIBILITIES

#2 CLEMSON vs. #4 Washington
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

#3 OHIO ST. vs. #4 Washington
Upset Alert

#1 ALABAMA vs. #3 Ohio St.

#1 ALABAMA vs. #2 Clemson

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking

What to Watch – Week 14: The Best of Championship Week’s College Football Games

Lucas Oil Stadium

Lucas Oil Stadium

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

See the second half of the post for this week’s viewing guide.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week N/A N/A N/A N/A
Overall 100-41 .709 17-13 .567

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

Big Ten Conference Championship Game: #7 Penn St. vs. #6 WISCONSIN
Sat., Dec. 3, 6:00 PM, FOX
Game of the Week / Overtime Watch

THREE-STAR GAMES

PAC-12 Championship Game: #8 Colorado vs. #4 WASHINGTON
Fri., Dec. 2, 7:30 7:00 PM, FOX

#10 Oklahoma St. at #9 OKLAHOMA
Sat., Dec. 3, 10:30 AM, FOX

American Conference Championship Game: TEMPLE* at #19 Navy
Sat., Dec. 3, 10:00 AM, ABC

K-State at TCU
Sat., Dec. 3, 10:00 FS1

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking


VIEWING GUIDE

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the games that are projected to be the most fun to watch. All times AZ.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON

MAC Championship Game: Ohio vs. #17 Western Michigan
5:00 PM, ESPN2
Blowout Warning

FRIDAY NIGHT

PAC-12 Championship Game: #8 Colorado vs. #4 Washington
7:30 7:00 PM, FOX

SATURDAY MORNING

#10 Oklahoma St. at #9 Oklahoma
10:30 AM, FOX

American Conference Championship Game: Temple at #19 Navy
10:00 AM, ABC
G5 Game of the Week / Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

K-State at TCU
10:00 AM, FS1
Overtime Watch

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Baylor at West Virginia
1:30 PM, FS1

SEC Championshop Game: #1 Alabama vs. #15 Florida
2:00 PM, CBS
Blowout Warning

Georgia St. at Idaho
3:00 PM, ESPN3 (streaming)
Toilet Bowl

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

Big Ten Conference Championship Game: #7 Penn St. vs. #6 Wisconsin 
6:00 PM, FOX
Game of the Week / Overtime Watch

ACC Championship Game: #3 Clemson vs. #23 Virginia Tech 
6:00 PM, ABC

Mountain West Conference Championship Game: San Diego St. vs. Wyoming 
5:45 PM, ESPN