Tag Archives: college football picks

Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Week 5

Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington

Advanced Stats Composite Rankings

NOTE: The computer ratings are going to be a little weird until weeks 8-10 due to the hurricane cancellations. Florida St., for example, is probably rated too highly because the computers only have two games of data on them (compared with four for most other teams) which causes a higher reliance on their pre-season projections. Once the pre-season projections are phased out equally among all teams, we’ll get a better representation of where everyone is at.

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 1 1 1 0
2 Ohio St. 2 8 2 0
3 Oklahoma 4 5 3 -1
4 Clemson 6 3 4 0
5 Florida St. 3 6 12 0
6 Penn St. 7 10 7 0
7 Wisconsin 5 15 6 0
8 Washington 8 13 5 0
9 TCU 17 4 8 +1
10 Georgia 14 2 14 +3
11 USC 10 7 15 -2
12 Michigan 9 9 17 +2
13 Stanford 16 12 9 -1
14 Notre Dame 19 11 10 N/A
15 Oklahoma St. 15 14 11 -4

Dropped from rankings: Auburn

WEEK 4 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 9-4 .692 0-1 .000
Overall 30-16 .652 2-5 .286

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#5 USC at #16 Washington St.
Fri., Sep. 29, 7:30 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR GAMES

#2 CLEMSON at #12 Virginia Tech
Sat., Sep. 30, 5:00 PM, ABC

#24 Mississippi St. at #13 AUBURN
Sat., Sep. 30, 3:00 PM, ESPN

IOWA* at Michigan St.
Sat., Sep. 30, 1:00 PM, FOX

#14 MIAMI at Duke
Fri., Sep. 29, 4:00 PM, ESPN

MEMPHIS* at UCF
Sat., Sep. 30, 4:00 PM, ESPN2

TEXAS at Iowa St.
Thu., Sep. 28, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Colorado at UCLA
Sat., Sep. 30, 7:30 PM, ESPN2

North Carolina at GEORGIA TECH
Sat., Sep. 30, 9:00 AM, ESPN2

#15 OKLAHOMA ST. at Texas Tech
Sat., Sep. 30, 5:00 PM, FOX

South Carolina at TEXAS A&M
Sat., Sep. 30, 4:30 PM, SECN

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

THURSDAY

Texas at Iowa St.
5:00 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY PRIME TIME

#14 Miami at Duke
4:00 PM, ESPN

BYU at Utah St.
5:00 PM, CBSSN

Nebraska at Illinois
5:00 PM, FS1

FRIDAY NIGHT

#5 USC at #16 Washington St.
7:30 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY MORNING

North Carolina at Georgia Tech
9:00 AM, ESPN2

Syracuse at NC State
9:00 AM, ACCN/CW

Northwestern at #10 Wisconsin
9:00 AM, ABC

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Arizona St. at Stanford
1:00 PM, PAC12

Iowa at Michigan St. 
1:00 PM, FOX

#7 Georgia at Tennessee
12:30 PM, CBS

Baylor at K-State
12:30 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

#24 Mississippi St. at #13 Auburn
3:00 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#2 Clemson at #12 Virginia Tech
5:00 PM, ABC

Memphis at UCF
4:00 PM, ESPN2

#15 Oklahoma St. at Texas Tech
5:00 PM, FOX

SATURDAY NIGHT

Colorado at UCLA
7:30 PM, ESPN2

Cal at Oregon
7:30 PM, FS1

Northern Illinois at #19 San Diego St.
7:30 PM, CBSSN

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College Football Week 4

Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

Advanced Stats Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 1 1 4 0
2 Oklahoma 5 3 1 +1
2 Ohio St. 3 4 2 0
4 Clemson 6 5 3 0
5 Florida St. 2 6 9 0
6 Penn St. 4 9 5 +1
7 Wisconsin 8 12 6 +5
8 Washington 7 13 7 +3
9 USC 10 7 12 -1
10 TCU 16 8 11 +5
11 Oklahoma St. 13 15 8 N/A
12 Stanford 14 10 13 -3
13 Georgia 19 2 17 +1
14 Michigan 11 11 18 -1
15 Auburn 12 16 16 N/A

WEEK 3 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 4-6 .400 0-1 .000
Overall 21-12 .636 2-4 .333

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#16 TCU at #6 OKLAHOMA ST.
Sat., Sep. 23, 12:30 PM, ESPN

FOUR-STAR GAME

#17 Mississippi St. at #11 GEORGIA
Sat., Sep. 23, 4:00 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR GAMES

UCLA at STANFORD
Sat., Sep. 23, 7:30 PM, ESPN

Duke at NORTH CAROLINA*
Sat., Sep. 23, 12:30 PM, ESPNU

#20 FLORIDA at Kentucky
Sat., Sep. 23, 4:30 PM, SECN

Arkansas vs. TEXAS A&M (in Arlington)
Sat., Sep. 23, 9:00 AM, ESPN

#23 UTAH at Arizona
Fri., Sep. 22, 7:30 PM, FS1

NOTRE DAME at Michigan St.
Sat., Sep. 23, 5:00 PM, FOX

Texas Tech at HOUSTON
Sat., Sep. 23, 9:00 AM, ESPN2

Toledo at #14 MIAMI
Sat., Sep. 23, 12:30 PM, FSN/WatchESPN

WAKE FOREST at Appalachian St.
Sat., Sep. 23, 12:30 PM, ESPN3

Pitt at GEORGIA TECH
Sat., Sep. 23, 9:20 AM, ACCN/CW

NC State at #12 FLORIDA ST.
Sat., Sep. 23, 9:00 AM, ABC

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

THURSDAY

Temple at #21 South Florida
4:30 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY

Virginia at Boise St.
5:00 PM, ESPN2

#23 Utah at Arizona
7:30 PM, FS1

SATURDAY MORNING

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (in Arlington)
9:00 AM, ESPN

Texas Tech at Houston
9:00 AM, ESPN2

Pitt at Georgia Tech
9:20 AM, ACCN/CW

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#16 TCU at #6 Oklahoma St.
12:30 PM, ESPN

Duke at North Carolina 
12:30 PM, ESPNU

Toledo at #14 Miami
12:30 PM, FSN/WatchESPN

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#17 Mississippi St. at #11 Georgia
4:00 PM, ESPN

#20 Florida at Kentucky
4:30 PM, SECN

Notre Dame at Michigan St.
5:00 PM, FOX

SATURDAY NIGHT

UCLA at Stanford
7:30 PM, ESPN

#24 Oregon at Arizona St.
7:00 PM, PAC12

#7 Washington at Colorado
7:00 PM, FS1

Hawai’i at Wyoming
7:15 PM, ESPN2

SUNDAY

East Carolina at UConn
9:00 AM, ESPNU

College Football Week 3

Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY

Advanced Stats Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 1 1 3 0
2 Ohio St. 4 2 1 0
3 Oklahoma 6 3 2 +1
4 Clemson 5 4 4 -1
5 Florida St. 3 5 6 0
6 LSU 2 8 10 0
7 Penn St. 8 10 5 +2
8 USC 7 7 12 0
9 Stanford 11 11 9 -2
10 Auburn 10 15 8 0
11 Washington 12 12 7 +1
12 Wisconsin 12 13 11 -1
13 Michigan 9 12 17 0
14 Georgia 20 6 15 0
15 TCU 19 11 14 N/A

WEEK 2 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 11-3 .786 2-1 .667
Overall 17-6 .739 2-3 .400

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#3 CLEMSON at #14 Louisville
Sat., Sep. 16, 5:00 PM, ABC

FOUR-STAR GAME

#23 Tennessee at #24 FLORIDA
Sat., Sep. 16, 12:30 PM, CBS

THREE-STAR GAMES

#18 K-STATE at Vanderbilt
Sat., Sep. 16, 4:30 PM, ESPNU

Texas at #4 USC
Sat., Sep. 16, 5:30 PM, FOX

#12 LSU at Mississippi St.
Sat., Sep. 16, 4:00 PM, ESPN

#25 UCLA at Memphis
Sat., Sep. 16, 9:00 AM, ABC

Kentucky at SOUTH CAROLINA
Sat., Sep. 16, 4:30 PM, SECN

#9 OKLAHOMA ST. at Pitt
Sat., Sep. 16, 9:00 AM, ESPN

BAYLOR* at Duke
Sat., Sep. 16, 9:30 AM, FSN

OLE MISS at Cal
Sat., Sep. 16, 7:30 PM, ESPN

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

THURSDAY

New Mexico at Boise St.
5:00 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY

Illinois at #22 South Florida
4:00 PM, ESPN

UMass at Temple
4:00 PM, ESPNU

Arizona at UTEP
7:15 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY MORNING

#25 UCLA at Memphis
9:00 AM, ABC

#9 Oklahoma St. at Pitt
9:00 AM, ESPN

Baylor at Duke
9:30 AM, FSN

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#23 Tennessee at #24 Florida
12:30 PM, CBS

#10 Wisconsin at BYU 
12:30 PM, ABC

SMU at #20 TCU
12:30 PM, ESPNU

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

Arizona St. at Texas Tech
5:00 PM, FSN

#3 Clemson at #14 Louisville
5:00 PM, ABC

#18 K-State at Vanderbilt
4:30 PM, ESPNU

Texas at #4 USC
5:30 PM, FOX

SATURDAY NIGHT

Ole Miss at Cal
7:30 PM, ESPN

#19 Stanford at San Diego St.
7:30 PM, CBSSN

Fresno St. at #6 Washington
6:30 PM, PAC12

San José St. at Utah
7:00 PM, ESPN2

What I’m watching – College Football Week 2

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 5-3 .625 0-2 .000
Overall 6-3 .667 0-2 .000

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#13 Auburn at #3 CLEMSON
Sat., Sep. 9, 4:00 PM, ESPN

FIVE-STAR GAME

#5 Oklahoma at #2 OHIO ST.
Sat., Sep. 9, 4:30 PM, ABC

FOUR-STAR GAMES

#14 Stanford at #6 USC
Sat., Sep. 9, 5:30 PM, FOX

#15 Georgia at #24 NOTRE DAME**
Sat., Sep. 9, 4:30 PM, NBC

THREE-STAR GAMES

#23 TCU at Arkansas
Sat., Sep. 9, 12:30 PM, CBS

HOUSTON at Arizona
Sat., Sep. 9, 7:30 PM, ESPNU

Northwestern at DUKE*
Sat., Sep. 9, 9:00 AM, ESPNU

SOUTH CAROLINA* at Missouri
Sat., Sep. 9, 4:00 PM, ESPN2

UTAH at BYU
Sat., Sep. 9, 7:15 PM, ESPN2

#17 LOUISVILLE at North Carolina
Sat., Sep. 9, 9:00 AM, ESPN

San Diego St. at ARIZONA ST.
Sat., Sep. 9, 8:00 PM, PAC12

Boise St. at #20 WASHINGTON ST.
Sat., Sep. 9, 7:30 PM, ESPN

IOWA at Iowa St.
Sat., Sep. 9, 9:00 AM, ESPN2

Nebraska at OREGON
Sat., Sep. 9, 1:30 PM, FOX

*Upset pick
**Upset pick – Vegas favorite despite lower ranking


What I’m going to watch…

FRIDAY

Ohio at Purdue
5:00 PM, FS1

#11 Oklahoma St. at South Alabama
5:00 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MORNING

Northwestern at Duke
9:00 AM, ESPNU

#17 Louisville at North Carolina
9:00 AM, ESPN

Iowa at Iowa St.
9:00 AM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#23 TCU at Arkansas
12:30 PM, CBS

Nebraska at Oregon 
1:30 PM, FOX

Pitt at #4 Penn St.
12:30 PM, ABC

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#13 Auburn at #3 Clemson
4:00 PM, ESPN

#5 Oklahoma at #2 Ohio St.
4:30 PM, ABC

#14 Stanford at #6 USC
5:30 PM, FOX

SATURDAY NIGHT

Houston at Arizona
7:30 PM, ESPNU

Utah at BYU
7:15 PM, ESPN2

San Diego St. at Arizona St.
8:00 PM, PAC12

What I’m watching – College Football Week 1

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week  1-0 1.000
Overall  1-0 1.000

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#1 ALABAMA vs. #3 Florida St. in Atlanta, GA
Sat., Sep. 2, 5:00 PM, ABC

FOUR-STAR GAMES

#17 Florida vs. #11 MICHIGAN in Arlington, TX
Sat., Sep. 2, 12:30 PM, ABC

Georgia Tech vs. #25 TENNESSEE in Atlanta, GA
Mon., Sep. 4, 5:00 PM, ESPN

TEXAS A&M* at UCLA
Sun., Sep. 3, 4:30 PM, FOX

THREE-STAR GAMES

NC STATE vs. South Carolina in Charlotte, NC
Sat., Sep. 2, 12:00 PM, ESPN

Colorado vs. COLORADO ST.* in Denver, CO
Fri., Sep. 1, 5:00 PM, PAC12

#21 VIRGINIA TECH vs. #22 West Virginia in Landover, MD
Sun., Sep. 3, 4:30 PM, ABC

BYU vs. #13 LSU in New Orleans, LA
Sat., Sep. 2, 6:30 PM, ESPN

*Upset picks


What I’m going to watch…

THURSDAY

Tulsa at #10 Oklahoma St.
4:30 PM, FS1

#3 Ohio St. at Indiana
5:00 PM, ESPN

Florida International at UCF
3:00 PM, CBSSN

FRIDAY

Colorado vs. Colorado St.
5:00 PM, PAC12

Utah St. at #9 Wisconsin
6:00 PM, ESPN

Boston College at Northern Illinois
6:30 PM, CBSSN

SATURDAY MORNING

Cal at North Carolina
9:20 AM, CW (ACCN)

Maryland at #23 Texas
9:00 AM, FS1

Wyoming at Iowa
9:00 AM, BTN

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#17 Florida vs. #11 Michigan
12:30 PM, ABC

NC State vs. South Carolina
12:00 PM, ESPN

Troy at Boise St.
12:45 PM, ESPNU

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

Appalachian St. at #15 Georgia
3:15 PM, ESPN

Western Michigan at #4 USC
2:15 PM, PAC12

Miami (OH) at Marshall
3:30 PM, Facebook (streaming)

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#1 Alabama vs. #3 Florida St. 
5:00 PM, ABC

BYU vs. #13 LSU 
6:30 PM, ESPN

Arkansas St. at Nebraska
5:00 PM, BTN

SUNDAY

Texas A&M at UCLA 
4:30 PM, FOX

#21 Virginia Tech vs. #22 West Virginia 
4:30 PM, ABC

MONDAY

Georgia Tech vs. #25 Tennessee 
5:00 PM, ESPN

What I’m Watching – College Football Week 0

Auburn vs. Georgia 1895

Welcome back, College Football. Don’t get too excited until next weekend, however.

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK

Oregon St. at COLORADO ST.
Sat., Aug. 26, 11:30 AM, CBSSN


Here’s what I’m going to watch…

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Oregon St. at Colorado St.
Sat., Aug. 26, 11:30 AM, CBSSN

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

#19 South Florida at San Jose St.
4:30 PM, CBSSN

SATURDAY NIGHT

Rice vs. #14 Stanford in Sydney, Australia
7:00 PM, ESPN

What to Watch – Bowl Edition

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 3-2 .600 1-0 1.000
Overall 103-43 .705 18-13 .581

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

BOWL OF THE YEAR 

Fiesta Bowl: #2 Clemson vs. #3 OHIO ST.**
Sat., Dec. 31, 5:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff / Overtime Watch

FIVE-STAR BOWL

Sugar Bowl: #14 Auburn vs. #7 OKLAHOMA
Mon., Jan. 2, 6:30 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

FOUR-STAR BOWLS

UPDATE: Changed Sun Bowl pick to UNC.

Citrus Bowl: #13 Louisville vs. #20 LSU**
Sat., Dec. 31, 9:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

The Rose Bowl Game: #5 Penn St. vs. #9 USC**
Mon., Jan. 2, 3:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Sun Bowl: NORTH CAROLINA* vs. #18 Stanford
Fri., Dec. 30, 12:00 PM, CBS
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Hall of Fame Bowl: #17 Florida vs. IOWA*
Mon., Jan. 2, 11:00 AM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Peach Bowl: #1 ALABAMA vs. #4 Washington
Sat., Dec. 31, 1:00 PM, ESPN
College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #11 Florida St. vs. #6 MICHIGAN
Fri., Dec. 30, 6:30 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR BOWLS 

Alamo Bowl: #10 COLORADO vs. #12 Oklahoma St.
Thu., Dec. 29, 7:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Cotton Bowl Classic: #15 Western Michigan vs. #8 WISCONSIN
Mon., Jan. 2, 11:00 AM, ESPN

Pinstripe Bowl: Northwestern vs. #23 PITT
Wed., Dec. 28, 12:00 PM, ESPN
Upset Alert

Russell Athletic Bowl: MIAMI** vs. #16 West Virginia
Wed., Dec. 28, 3:30 PM, ESPN

Boca Bowl: Memphis vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Tue., Dec. 20, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Camellia Bowl: Appalachian St. vs. TOLEDO
Sat., Dec. 17, 3:30 PM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Liberty Bowl: Georgia vs. TCU*
Fri., Dec. 30, 10:00 AM, ESPN
Overtime Watch

Holiday Bowl: Minnesota vs. WASHINGTON ST.
Tue., Dec. 27, 5:00 PM, ESPN

Music City Bowl: Nebraska vs. #21 TENNESSEE
Fri., Dec. 30, 1:30 PM, ESPN

Independence Bowl: NC STATE vs. Vanderbilt
Mon., Dec. 26, 3:00 PM, ESPN2

Texas Bowl: K-State vs. TEXAS A&M
Wed., Dec. 28, 7:00 PM, ESPN

Belk Bowl: Arkansas vs. #22 VIRGINIA TECH
Thu., Dec. 29, 3:30 PM, ESPN

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP POSSIBILITIES

#2 CLEMSON vs. #4 Washington
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

#3 OHIO ST. vs. #4 Washington
Upset Alert

#1 ALABAMA vs. #3 Ohio St.

#1 ALABAMA vs. #2 Clemson

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking