Tag Archives: college football week 12

Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Week 12

BB&T Field, Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 2 6 1
2 Ohio St. 1 8 2 +1
3 Auburn 6 3 5 +7
4 Clemson 11 1 4 +3
5 Georgia 7 5 7 -3
6 Penn St. 8 9 3 -1
7 Oklahoma 10 2 8 +2
8 Washington 4 14 6 -2
9 Wisconsin 3 11 10 +3
10 Miami 9 4 12 +3
11 Notre Dame 14 7 9 -7
12 Oklahoma St. 12 12 11 +2
13 TCU 13 10 13 -6
14 UCF 5 13 21 -3
15 USC 17 17 17

WEEK 11 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 7-6 .538 2-2 .500
Overall 80-55 .593 11-17 .393

Times AZ and Eastern. Picks in CAPS.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#19 NC State at WAKE FOREST*
Sat., Nov. 18, 5:30/7:30 PM, ESPNU

FOUR-STAR GAMES

#24 Michigan at #5 WISCONSIN
Sat., Nov. 18, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, FOX

Texas at WEST VIRGINIA
Sat., Nov. 18, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR GAMES

ARIZONA at Oregon
Sat., Nov. 18, 5:00/7:00 PM, PAC12

#12 TCU at Texas Tech
Sat., Nov. 18, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, FS1

Texas A&M at OLE MISS
Sat., Nov. 18, 5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN2

SMU at #21 MEMPHIS
Sat., Nov. 18, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPNEWS

Purdue at IOWA
Sat., Nov. 18, 1:30/3:30 PM, BTN

Minnesota at #23 NORTHWESTERN
Sat., Nov. 18, 10:00 AM/12:00 PM, BTN

Syracuse at LOUISVILLE
Sat., Nov. 18, 1:30/3:30 PM, ESPNU

Marshall at UTSA
Sat., Nov. 18, 5:00/7:00 PM, Facebook

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

THURSDAY

Tulsa at South Florida
5:30/7:30 PM, ESPN

Buffalo at Ball St.
5:00/7:00 PM, CBSSN

FRIDAY

Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky
6:00/8:00 PM, CBSSN

UNLV at New Mexico
7:30/9:30 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MORNING

#24 Michigan at #5 Wisconsin
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, FOX

Texas at West Virginia
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, ESPN

#12 TCU at Texas Tech
10:00 AM/12:00 PM, FS1

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Arizona St. at Oregon St.
1:00/3:00 PM, PAC12

Purdue at Iowa 
1:30/3:30 PM, BTN

Syracuse at Louisville
1:30/3:30 PM, ESPNU

Fresno St. at Wyoming
12:00/2:00 PM, Stadium

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#19 NC State at Wake Forest
5:30/7:30 PM, ESPNU

Arizona at Oregon
5:00/7:00 PM, PAC12

Texas A&M at Ole Miss
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN2

Marshall at UTSA
5:00/7:00 PM, Facebook

SATURDAY NIGHT

Utah at #18 Washington
8:30/10:30 PM, ESPN

Air Force at #25 Boise St.
8:15/10:15 PM, ESPN2

Nevada at San Diego St.
8:30/10:30 PM, CBSSN

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Early Week #MACtion Viewing Guide – College Football Week 12

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

Times AZ/ET.

What I’m going to watch…

TUESDAY

Ohio at Akron
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN2

Central Michigan at Kent St.
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPNU

WEDNESDAY

Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)
5:00/7:00 PM, CBSSN

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois
5:00/7:00 PM, ESPN2

Toledo at Bowling Green
6:00/8:00 PM, ESPNU

What to Watch – Week 12: The Best of This Week’s College Football Games

Folsom Field

Folsom Field

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

See the second half of the post for this week’s viewing guide.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 6-2 .750 0-0
Overall 96-38 .716 16-11 .593

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#22 WASHINGTON ST.* at #10 Colorado
Sat., Nov. 19, 1:30 PM, FOX
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch
Note: a composite ranking using the four systems mentioned above puts Washington St. at (19) and Colorado at (16)

FOUR-STAR GAMES

VIRGINIA TECH* at Notre Dame
Sat., Nov. 19, 1:30 PM, NBC
Overtime Watch
Composite advanced stats top 25: (24) Virginia Tech

#11 OKLAHOMA ST.*** at TCU
Sat., Nov. 19, 10:00 AM, FS1
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch
Composite advanced stats top 25: Oklahoma St. unranked

THREE-STAR GAMES

#9 OKLAHOMA at #14 West Virginia
Sat., Nov. 19, 6:00 PM, ABC
Upset Alert
Composite advanced stats top 25: (13) Oklahoma vs. (23) West Virginia

#11 OKLAHOMA ST.*** at TCU
Sat., Nov. 19, 10:00 AM, FS1
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch
Composite advanced stats top 25: Oklahoma St. unranked

K-State at BAYLOR*
Sat., Nov. 19, 10:00 AM, ESPN2

MIAMI at NC State
Sat., Nov. 19, 10:30 AM, CW? / WatchESPN (streaming)
Composite advanced stats top 25: (17) Miami

NORTHWESTERN at Minnesota
Sat., Nov. 19, 1:30 PM, BTN

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking


VIEWING GUIDE

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the games that are projected to be the most fun to watch. All times AZ.

NOW WITH 100% MORE MACTION!

WEDNESDAY

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
6:00 PM, ESPNU
Toilet Bowl

Ball St. at Toledo
5:00 PM, ESPN2

THURSDAY

#5 Louisville at Houston
6:00 PM, ESPN
P5/G5 Showdown

Arkansas St. at Troy
7:30 PM, ESPN2

FRIDAY

Memphis at Cincinnati
6:00 PM, CBSSN

UNLV at #20 Boise St.
7:00 PM, ESPN2
Blowout Warning

SATURDAY MORNING

#11 Oklahoma State at TCU
10:00 AM, FS1
Overtime Watch

K-State at Baylor
10:00 AM, ESPN2

Miami at NC State
10:30 AM, CW? (ACCN) / WatchESPN (streaming)

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#22 Washington St. at #10 Colorado
1:30 PM, FOX
Game of the Week / Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Virginia Tech at Notre Dame
1:30 PM, NBC
Overtime Watch

Northwestern at Minnesota
1:30 PM, BTN

SATURDAY EVENING

#9 Oklahoma at #14 West Virginia 
6:00 PM, ABC
Upset Alert

Tulsa at UCF 
6:00 PM, ESPNEWS
G5 Game of the Week

Arkansas at Mississippi St. 
5:00 PM, ESPNU
Overtime Watch

SATURDAY NIGHT

#13 USC at UCLA 
8:30 PM, ESPN

Arizona at Oregon St.
8:30 PM, PAC12
Overtime Watch

New Mexico at Colorado St.
8:15 PM, ESPN2

College Football Week 12 Superlatives

Here are some of the projected best and worst of the upcoming slate of games.

Games of the Week

Power 5 #15 LSU at #22 Ole Miss
Group of 5 Toledo at Bowling Green

Upset Specials

Games with a ranked team most likely to be upset
#24 USC at #23 Oregon
#20 Northwestern at #25 Wisconsin
#10 Baylor at #6 Oklahoma St.
#15 LSU at #22 Ole Miss
#21 Memphis at Temple

Best Games Featuring Two Un-Ranked Teams

Power 5 Group of 5
Mississippi St. at Arkansas Toledo at Bowling Green
Louisville at Pitt Cincinnati at South Florida
Illinois at Minnesota Western Michigan at Northern Illinois
Georgia Tech at Miami Air Force at Boise St.
Georgia Southern at Georgia
Iowa St. at K-State

Overtime Bowls

Most likely to go into overtime / Best Match-Up
Power 5 Mississippi St. at Arkansas
Group of 5 Buffalo at Akron

Blowout Bowls

Most likely to have a huge margin of victory / Worst Match-Up
Power 5 #1 Clemson over Wake Forest
Group of 5 Louisiana Tech over UTEP

Toilet Bowls

Worst combined ratings of the two teams
Power 5 West Virginia at Kansas
Group of 5 Louisiana-Monroe at Texas St.

Plan Accordingly: Week 12 College Football Viewing Guide

UPDATE: CFP rankings added

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the highest projected “watchability.” All times AZ.

Tuesday

Toledo at Bowling Green – Group of 5 Game of the Week 4:00 PM ESPN2
Ball St. at Ohio 5:00 PM ESPNU

Wednesday

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois 6:00 PM ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent St. 6:00 PM ESPNU

Thursday

Louisiana-Monroe at Texas St. – Toilet Bowl 5:30 PM ESPNU
East Carolina at UCF 5:30 PM ESPN

Friday

Cincinnati at South Florida 6:00 PM CBSSN
Air Force at Boise St. 7:30 PM ESPN2

Saturday Morning

#21 Memphis at Temple – Upset Special 10:00 AM ESPNU
Illinois at Minnesota 10:00 AM ESPNEWS
Georgia Tech at Miami 10:30 AM ESPN3 (streaming)

Saturday Midday

#15 LSU at #22 Ole Miss – Game of the Week / Upset Special 1:30 PM CBS
UCLA at #13 Utah 1:30 PM FOX
#9 Michigan St. at #3 Ohio St. 1:30 PM ABC

Saturday Evening

Mississippi St. at Arkansas – Overtime Bowl 5:00 PM ESPN
#10 Baylor at #6 Oklahoma St. – Upset Special 5:30 PM FOX
#18 TCU at #7 Oklahoma 6:00 PM ABC

Saturday Night

Cal at #11 Stanford 8:30 PM ESPN
Colorado at Washington St. 8:45 PM ESPN2
San Diego St. at UNLV 8:30 PM CBSSN

Plan Accordingly: Top Games – Week 12

UPDATE: CFP rankings added

Games are ranked like recruits: 5 stars, 4 stars, and 3 stars. Just like in recruiting, 2-star and 1-star games won’t be given much attention.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, and ESPN’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 8-7 .533 3-0 1.000
Overall 80-50 .615 12-13 .480

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ.

GAME OF THE WEEK

GAME DAY TIME TV PICK
#15 LSU at #22 Ole Miss Sat. 1:30 PM CBS MISS**

4-Star Games

GAME DAY TIME TV PICK
Mississippi St. at Arkansas Sat. 5:00 PM ESPN ARK
#10 Baylor at #6 Oklahoma St. Sat. 5:30 PM FOX BAY*
#18 TCU at #7 Oklahoma Sat. 6:00 PM ABC OU
UCLA at #13 Utah Sat. 1:30 PM FOX UTAH

3-Star Games

GAME DAY TIME TV PICK
#9 Michigan St. at #3 Ohio St. Sat. 1:30 PM ABC OSU
Toledo at Bowling Green Tue. 4:00 PM ESPN2 BGSU
#24 USC at #23 Oregon Sat. 1:30 PM ESPN USC*
Cal at #11 Stanford Sat. 8:30 PM ESPN STAN
Louisville at Pittsburgh Sat. 1:45 PM ESPNEWS PITT
#21 Memphis at Temple Sat. 10:00 AM ESPNU MEM
Cincinnati at South Florida Fri. 6:00 PM CBSSN CIN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois Wed. 6:00 PM ESPN2 NIU
#20 Northwestern at #25 Wisconsin Sat. 1:30 PM BTN WIS**
Illinois at Minnesota Sat. 10:00 AM ESPNEWS MICH
#12 Michigan at Penn St. Sat. 10:00 AM ABC MICH
#17 North Carolina at Virginia Tech Sat. 10:00 AM ESPN UNC
Georgia Tech at Miami Sat. 10:30 AM ESPN3 (streaming) GT*
Georgia Southern at Georgia Sat. 5:00 PM ESPNU UGA
Air Force at Boise St. Fri. 7:30 PM ESPN2 BOISE
Iowa St. at K-State Sat. 10:00 AM FS1 KSU

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking

Plan Accordingly: What to Watch – Week 12

Here’s what you need to watch this weekend. All times AZ. See below for a breakdown of the best games to watch by day and time slot.

Game of the Week

#1 Mississippi St. at #5 Alabama Saturday 1:30 PM CBS

4-Star Games

#19 Clemson at #22 Georgia Tech Saturday 10:00 AM ESPN
Virginia Tech at #21 Duke Saturday 10:00 AM ESPNU
#16 Nebraska at #20 Wisconsin Saturday 1:30 PM ABC
#9 Auburn at #15 Georgia Saturday 5:15 PM ESPN
#3 Florida St. at Miami Saturday 6:00 PM ABC

2-Star Games

South Carolina at Florida Saturday 10:00 AM SECN
Nevada at Air Force Saturday 12:00 PM MWC Video (Streaming)
Georgia Southern at Navy Saturday 1:30 PM CBSSN
#23 Utah at Stanford Saturday 4:00 PM PAC12
Missouri at #24 Texas A&M Saturday 5:30 PM SECN

1-Star Games

Pitt at North Carolina Saturday 10:30 AM ESPN3 (Streaming)
#17 LSU at Arkansas Saturday 6:00 PM ESPN2
#12 Michigan St. at Maryland Saturday 6:00 PM BTN

Best Games to Watch by Day/Time

Thursday

East Carolina at Cincinnati 5:00 PM ESPN2
Cal at USC 7:00 PM ESPN

Friday

Tulsa at UCF 6:00 PM ESPN2

Saturday Morning

#19 Clemson at #22 Georgia Tech 10:00 AM ESPN
Virginia Tech at #21 Duke 10:00 AM ESPNU

Saturday Afternoon

#1 Mississippi St. at #5 Alabama 1:30 PM CBS
#16 Nebraska at #20 Wisconsin 1:30 PM ABC

Saturday Night

#3 Florida St. at Miami 6:00 PM ABC
#9 Auburn at #15 Georgia 5:15 PM ESPN

Saturday Late

#6 Arizona St. at Oregon St. 8:45 PM ESPN