Tag Archives: college football week 6

Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Week 6

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL

Advanced Stats Weighted Composite Rankings

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 1 3 1
2 Ohio St. 3 2 2
3 Georgia 4 1 3
4 Clemson 2 7 5
5 Washington 5 4 8
6 Oklahoma 6 8 6
7 Penn St. 8 13 4
8 Notre Dame 9 9 9 +2
9 Michigan 7 14 7 -1
10 Auburn 11 6 12 -1
11 LSU 17 5 11 +4
12 Wisconsin 13 11 14  -1
13 Oklahoma St. 12 18 17 +4
14 Miami 18 21 10 +2
15 West Virginia 14 20 15 +3
Others: #16 Michigan St., #17 Kentucky, #18 Florida, #19 Stanford, #20 NC State, #21 Mississippi St., #22 Boise St., #23 Texas A&M, #24 Iowa, #25 Texas

MOST OVER-RATED TEAMS BY AP POLL

  1. #21 Colorado (31 spots)
  2. #18 Oregon (20 spots)
  3. #12 UCF (14 spots)
  4. #5 LSU (6 spots)
  5. #9 West Virginia (6 spots)

MOST UNDER-RATED TEAMS BY AP POLL

  1. #25 Oklahoma St. (12 spots)
  2. #15 Michigan (6 spots)
  3. #10 Washington (5 spots)
  4. #22 Florida (4 spots)
  5. #20 Michigan St. (4 spots)

BEST TEAMS LEFT OFF AP POLL

  1. Mississippi St.
  2. Boise St.
  3. Texas A&M
  4. Iowa

UPSET WATCH

  • #13 Kentucky at Texas A&M
  • Arizona St. at #21 Colorado

Times AZ and Eastern. Rankings below are AP until CFP rankings are available.

See How the Games are Rated to learn more about…how the games are rated.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#5 LSU at #22 Florida
Saturday, 12:30/3:30 PM, CBS

OTHER FOUR-STAR GAME

#8 Auburn at Mississippi St.
Saturday, 4:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2

#13 Kentucky at Texas A&M
Saturday, 4:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

#7 Oklahoma vs. #19 Texas (in Dallas)
Saturday, 9:00 AM/12:00 PM, FOX

THREE-STAR GAMES

#6 Notre Dame at #24 Virginia Tech
Saturday, 5:00/8:00 PM, ABC

Boston College at #23 NC State
Saturday, 9:30 AM/12:30 PM, ACCN / WatchESPN (streaming)

Utah at #14 Stanford
Saturday, 7:30/10:30 PM, ESPN

Utah St. at BYU
Friday, 6:00/9:00 PM, ESPN2

Iowa St. at #25 Oklahoma St.
Saturday, 12:30/3:30 PM, ESPN2

Arizona St. at #21 Colorado
Saturday, 1:00/4:00 PM, PAC12

Cal at Arizona
Saturday, 7:00/10:00 PM, FS1

Iowa at Minnesota
Saturday, 12:30/3:30 PM, BTN

Northwestern at #20 Michigan St.
Saturday, 9:00 AM/12:00 PM, FS1


What I’m going to watch…

FRIDAY PRIME TIME

Georgia Tech at Louisville
4:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

Middle Tennessee at Marshall
4:30/7:30 PM, CBSSN

FRIDAY NIGHT

Utah St. at BYU
6:00/9:00 PM, ESPN2

SATURDAY MORNING

Missouri at South Carolina
9:00 AM/12:00 PM, SECN

#7 Oklahoma vs. #19 Texas (in Dallas)
9:00 AM/12:00 PM, FOX

Boston College at #23 NC State
9:30 AM/12:30 PM, ACCN / WatchESPN (streaming)

Northwestern at #20 Michigan St.
9:00 AM/12:00 PM, FS1

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#5 LSU at #22 Florida 
12:30/3:30 PM, CBS

Iowa St. at #25 Oklahoma St.
12:30/3:30 PM, ESPN2

Arizona St. at #21 Colorado
1:00/4:00 PM, PAC12

Iowa at Minnesota
12:30/3:30 PM, BTN

San Diego St. at Boise St.
12:30/3:30 PM, ESPNU

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#8 Auburn at Mississippi St.
4:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2

#13 Kentucky at Texas A&M
4:00/7:00 PM, ESPN

#6 Notre Dame at #24 Virginia Tech
5:00/8:00 PM, ABC

SATURDAY NIGHT

Utah at #14 Stanford
7:30/10:30 PM, ESPN

Cal at Arizona
7:00/10:00 PM, FS1

Fresno St. at Nevada
7:30/10:30 PM, ESPNU

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Weekend Planning Guide – College Football Week 6

Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida

Advanced Stats Composite Rankings

NOTE: The computer ratings are going to be a little weird until weeks 8-10 due to the hurricane cancellations. Florida St., for example, is probably rated too highly because the computers only have two games of data on them (compared with four for most other teams) which causes a higher reliance on their pre-season projections. Once the pre-season projections are phased out equally among all teams, we’ll get a better representation of where everyone is at.

RANK TEAM S&P+ FEI FPI Change
1 Alabama 1 2 1 0
2 Ohio St. 2 6 2 0
3 Clemson 5 1 4 +1
4 Oklahoma 3 5 3 -1
5 Penn St. 8 7 6 +1
6 Georgia 10 4 9 +4
7 Washington 7 13 5 +1
8 Wisconsin 4 16 7 -1
9 Florida St. 6 9 12 -4
10 TCU 14 3 11 -1
11 Michigan 9 8 18 +1
12 Notre Dame 16 11 10 +2
13 Oklahoma St. 13 12 13 +2
14 Auburn 12 20 8 N/A
15 USC 15 10 15 -4

Dropped from rankings: Stanford

WEEK 5 PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 8-3 .727 0-2 .000
Overall 38-19 .667 2-7 .222

All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#13 MIAMI at Florida St.
Sat., Oct. 7, 12:30 PM, ESPN
Note: I’m taking this week’s game of the week with a grain of salt. See above regarding rankings.

FOUR-STAR GAMES 

#11 Washington St. at OREGON*
Sat., Oct. 7, 5:00 PM, FOX

K-STATE* at Texas
Sat., Oct. 7, 4:00 PM, FS1

#17 LOUISVILLE at #24 NC State
Thu., Oct. 5, 5:00 PM, ESPN

THREE-STAR GAMES

SMU at HOUSTON
Sat., Oct. 7, 4:00 PM, CBSSN

LSU at #22 FLORIDA
Sat., Oct. 7, 12:30 PM, CBS

DUKE* at Virginia
Sat., Oct. 7, 9:20 AM, ACCN/CW

STANFORD* at #20 Utah
Sat., Oct. 7, 7:15 PM, FS1

ARIZONA* at Colorado
Sat., Oct. 7, 5:00 PM, PAC12

Arkansas at SOUTH CAROLINA*
Sat., Oct. 7, 1:00 PM, SECN

Michigan St. at #8 MICHIGAN
Sat., Oct. 7, 4:30 PM, ABC

*Upset pick


What I’m going to watch…

THURSDAY

#17 Louisville at #24 NC State  
5:00 PM, ESPN

FRIDAY

Memphis at UConn
4:00 PM, ESPN

Boise St. at BYU
7:15 PM, ESPN

SATURDAY MORNING

Duke at Virginia
9:20 AM, ACCN/CW

Wake Forest at #2 Clemson
9:00 AM, ESPN2

#4 Penn St. at Northwestern
9:00 AM, ABC

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#13 Miami at Florida St.
12:30 PM, ESPN

LSU at #22 Florida 
12:30 PM, CBS

Arkansas at South Carolina
1:00 PM, SECN

SATURDAY PRIME TIME

#11 Washington St. at Oregon
5:00 PM, FOX

K-State at Texas
4:00 PM, FS1

SMU at Houston
4:00 PM, CBSSN

SATURDAY NIGHT

Stanford at #20 Utah
7:15 PM, FS1

Cal at #6 Washington
7:45 PM, ESPN

#19 San Diego St. at UNLV
7:45 PM, ESPN2

The Best College Football Games and Viewing Guide for Week 6

UPDATE: Georgia/South Carolina moved to Sunday. Viewing guide has been updated.

UPDATE: The LSU/Florida game has been postponed.

The games are ranked using a zero- to five-star scale. Five stars meaning that you should make every human effort possible aside from committing a crime to watch this game (it’s time your children learned to feed themselves) and zero stars meaning you probably shouldn’t waste your time.

See the second half of the post for this week’s viewing guide.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, ESPN’s, and Ed Feng’s advanced stats ranking systems.

PICK RESULTS

All Games Pct. Upset Picks Pct.
Last Week 11-6 .647 2-1 .667
Overall 44-18 .710 6-6 .500

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ. Picks in CAPS.

Sun Life a.k.a Hard Rock Stadium

Sun Life a.k.a Hard Rock Stadium

GAME OF THE WEEK 

#23 Florida St. at #10 MIAMI
Sat., Oct. 8, 5:00 PM, ABC
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

FOUR-STAR GAMES 

#9 Tennessee at #8 TEXAS A&M
Sat., Oct. 8, 12:30 PM, CBS
Upset Alert

#21 Colorado at USC**
Sat., Oct. 8, 1:00 PM, PAC12
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

#25 Virginia Tech at #17 NORTH CAROLINA
Sat., Oct. 8, 12:30 PM, ABC
Upset Alert

THREE-STAR GAMES

#25 Virginia Tech at #17 NORTH CAROLINA
Sat., Oct. 8, 12:30 PM, ABC
Upset Alert

#21 Colorado at USC**
Sat., Oct. 8, 1:00 PM, PAC12
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Texas Tech at K-STATE
Sat., Oct. 8, 4:00 PM, ESPNU
Overtime Watch

Notre Dame at NC STATE
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:00 AM, ABC
Overtime Watch

AUBURN at Mississippi St.
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:00 AM, SECN

LSU** at #18 Florida
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:00 AM, ESPN
Upset Alert

Georgia Tech at PITT
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:30 AM, CW / WatchESPN (streaming)
Overtime Watch

MARYLAND at Penn St.
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:00 AM, BTN

BYU* at Michigan St.
Sat., Oct. 8, 12:30 PM, ESPN2
P5/G5 Showdown

Washington St. at #15 STANFORD
Sat., Oct. 8, 7:30 PM, ESPN

Arizona at #24 UTAH
Sat., Oct. 8, 6:00 PM, FS1
Upset Alert

#5 WASHINGTON at Oregon
Sat., Oct. 8, 4:30 PM, FOX

IOWA at Minnesota
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:00 AM, ESPN2

Temple at MEMPHIS
Thu., Oct. 6, 5:00 PM, ESPN
G5 Game of the Week

UCLA at ARIZONA ST.*
Sat., Oct. 8, 7:30 PM, ESPN2

#20 OKLAHOMA vs. Texas (in Dallas)
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:00 AM, FS1

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking
***Vegas underdog despite higher ranking


VIEWING GUIDE

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the games that are projected to be the most fun to watch. All times AZ.

WEDNESDAY

Georgia Southern at Arkansas St.
5:00 PM, ESPN2

THURSDAY

Temple at Memphis
5:00 PM, ESPN
G5 Game of the Week

Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech
5:00 PM, CBSSN

FRIDAY

#3 Clemson at Boston College
4:30 PM, ESPN
Blowout Warning

SMU at Tulsa
5:00 PM, ESPN2

Boise St. at New Mexico
6:00 PM, CBSSN

Note: Tulane at UCF has been postponed.

SATURDAY MORNING

Notre Dame at NC State 
9:00 AM, ABC
Overtime Watch

Auburn at Mississippi St.
9:00 AM, SECN

Georgia Tech at PITT 
Sat., Oct. 8, 9:30 AM, CW / WatchESPN (streaming)
Overtime Watch

LSU at #18 Florida 
9:00 AM, ESPN
Upset Alert

SATURDAY MIDDAY

#9 Tennessee at #8 Texas A&M
12:30 PM, CBS
Upset Alert

#21 Colorado at USC
1:00 PM, PAC12
Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

#25 Virginia Tech at #17 North Carolina
12:30 PM, ABC
Upset Alert

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

#23 Florida State at #10 Miami 
5:00 PM, ABC
Game of the Week / Upset Alert / Overtime Watch

Texas Tech at K-State 
4:00 PM, ESPNU
Overtime Watch

#5 Washington at Oregon
4:30 PM, FOX

SATURDAY NIGHT

Washington St. at #15 Stanford
7:30 PM, ESPN

Arizona at #24 Utah
6:00 PM, FS1
Upset Alert

UCLA at Arizona St.
7:30 PM, ESPN2

SUNDAY!

Georgia at South Carolina 
11:30 PM, SECN

Plan Accordingly: Week 7 College Football Viewing Guide

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the highest projected “watchability.” All times AZ.

Thursday Afternoon

Auburn at Kentucky 4:00 PM ESPN
Western Kentucky at North Texas 4:30 PM CBSSN

Thursday Night

#18 UCLA at #15 Stanford 7:30 PM ESPN

Friday Afternoon

Cincinnati at BYU 5:00 PM ESPN

Friday Night

#21 Boise St. at Utah St. 6:00 PM CBSSN
UNLV at Fresno St. 7:30 PM ESPN2
#24 Houston at Tulane 6:00 PM ESPNU

Saturday Morning

#17 Iowa at #20 Northwestern 9:00 AM ESPN2
Louisville at #11 Florida St. 9:00 AM ESPN
West Virginia at #2 Baylor 9:00 AM FOX

Saturday Midday

#10 Alabama at #9 Texas A&M 12:30 PM CBS
#19 Oklahoma at K-State 12:30 PM ABC
#7 Michigan St. at #12 Michigan 12:30 PM ESPN

Saturday Afternoon

USC at #14 Notre Dame 4:30 PM NBC
#8 Florida at #6 LSU 4:00 PM ESPN
Penn St. at #1 Ohio St. 5:00 PM ABC

Saturday Night

Arizona St. at #4 Utah 7:00 PM ESPN
Oregon at Washington 7:30 PM ESPN2
San Diego St. at San Jose St. 7:30 PM ESPNU

Plan Accordingly: Week 6 College Football Viewing Guide

UPDATE: Errors were made and now corrected.

The top three games during each time slot are listed below starting with the highest projected “watchability.” All times AZ.

Thursday

Washington at #17 USC 6:00 PM ESPN
SMU at Houston 5:00 PM ESPN2

Friday

NC State at Virginia Tech 5:00 PM ESPN
Southern Miss at Marshall 4:00 PM CBSSN

Saturday Morning

Illinois at #22 Iowa 9:00 AM ESPNU
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky 9:00 AM FSN
Indiana at Penn St. 9:00 AM ESPN
Illinois at #22 Iowa 9:00 AM ESPNU

Saturday Midday

Georgia Tech at #6 Clemson 12:30 PM ABC
Georgia at Tennessee 12:30 PM CBS
#13 Northwestern at #18 Michigan 12:30 PM BTN
Wisconsin at Nebraska 12:30 PM ESPN2
Georgia Tech at #6 Clemson 12:30 PM ABC

Saturday Afternoon

Arkansas at #8 Alabama 4:00 PM ESPN
#2 TCU at K-State 4:30 PM FOX
#21 Oklahoma St. at West Virginia 4:00 PM ESPN2
Miami at Florida State 5:00 PM ABC
#21 Oklahoma St. at West Virginia 4:00 PM ESPN2

Saturday Night

#23 Cal at #5 Utah 7:00 PM ESPN
Colorado at Arizona St. 7:00 PM PAC12
Utah St. at Fresno St. 7:30 PM CBSSN

Plan Accordingly: Top Games – Week 6

UPDATE: Mistakes were made and ranking system modified.

Games are ranked like recruits: 5 stars, 4 stars, and 3 stars. Just like in recruiting, 2-star and 1-star games won’t be given much attention.

Games are ranked using a super-scientific system comparing the overall quality of the two teams and the closeness of the match-up. The quality of each team is found using Brian Fremeau’s, Bill Connelly’s, and ESPN’s advanced stats ranking systems.

Last week’s picks: 7-6 (.538); Upset picks: 2-0 (1.000)

Overall: 29-21 (.580); Upsets: 5-6 (.455)

Without further ado: the games. All times AZ.

GAME OF THE WEEK

GAME DAY TIME TV PICK
Georgia Tech at #6 Clemson Sat. 12:30 PM ABC Clemson
#19 Georgia at Tennessee Sat. 12:30 PM CBS Tenn.*

3-Star Games

GAME DAY TIME TV PICK
#13 Northwestern at #18 Michigan Sat. 12:30 PM BTN Michigan**
Wisconsin at Nebraska Sat. 12:30 PM ESPN2 Nebraska
N.C. State at Virginia Tech Fri. 5:00 PM ESPN VT
Georgia Tech at #6 Clemson Sat. 12:30 PM ABC Clemson
#13 Northwestern at #18 Michigan Sat. 12:30 PM BTN Michigan**
Arkansas at #8 Alabama Sat. 4:00 PM ESPN Bama
#19 Georgia at Tennessee Sat. 12:30 PM CBS Tenn.*
#23 Cal at #5 Utah Sat. 7:00 PM ESPN Utah
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky Sat. 9:00 AM FSN WKU
Indiana at Penn St. Sat. 9:00 AM ESPN2 PSU
TCU at K-State Sat. 4:30 PM FOX
N.C. State at Virginia Tech Fri. 5:00 PM ESPN VT
Illinois at Iowa Sat. 9:00 AM ESPNU

*Upset picks
**Vegas favorite despite lower ranking