Tag Archives: predictions

Projecting the ACC: Team-by-Team Schedule Predictions

TL;DR – Clemson wins the conference and goes to the Playoff. Florida St. enjoys another trip to the Orange Bowl.

The predictions were based on the same advanced statistics ratings I use to rate each week’s games. Home teams were given a slight increase in ratings for home-field advantage.

Projected Final Standings


Atlantic

Team Overall Conference
Clemson 12-0 8-0
Florida St. 9-2 7-1
Louisville 10-2 6-2
NC State 6-6 4-4
Wake Forest 6-6 2-6
Syracuse 4-8 2-6
Boston College 3-9 0-8

Coastal

Team Overall Conference
Miami 9-2 7-1
Georgia Tech 7-4 6-2
Virginia Tech 9-3 5-3
North Carolina 5-7 3-5
Duke 6-6 2-6
Pitt 3-9 2-6
Virginia 2-10 0-8

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP PREDICTION

Clemson OVER Miami
 

ACC ATLANTIC


BOSTON COLLEGE

CURRENT: 1-2

OVERALL: 3-9
CONFERENCE: 0-8 (7th in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

LOSS at Clemson
WIN vs. Central Michigan
LOSS vs. Virginia Tech
LOSS at Louisville
LOSS at Virginia
LOSS vs. Florida St.
LOSS vs. NC State
WIN vs. UConn (Fenway Park)
LOSS at Syracuse

CLEMSON

CURRENT: 3-0

OVERALL: 13-0
CONFERENCE: 9-0 (1st in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. Boston College
WIN at Virginia Tech
WIN vs. Wake Forest
WIN at Syracuse
WIN vs. Georgia Tech
WIN at NC State
WIN vs. Florida St.
WIN vs. The Citadel
WIN at South Carolina
WIN vs. Miami (Conference Championship Game)

FLORIDA ST.

CURRENT: 0-1

OVERALL: 9-2
CONFERENCE: 7-1 (2nd in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. NC State
WIN vs. Wake Forest
WIN at Miami (FL)
WIN at Duke
WIN vs. Louisville
WIN at Boston College
WIN vs. Syracuse
LOSS at Clemson
WIN vs. Delaware St.
WIN at Florida

LOUISVILLE

CURRENT: 2-1

OVERALL: 10-2
CONFERENCE: 6-2 (3rd in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. Kent St.
WIN vs. Murray St.
WIN at NC State
WIN vs. Boston College
LOSS at Florida St.
WIN at Wake Forest
WIN vs. Virginia
WIN vs. Syracuse
WIN at Kentucky

NC STATE

CURRENT: 2-1

OVERALL: 6-6
CONFERENCE: 4-4 (4th in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

LOSS at Florida St.
WIN vs. Syracuse
LOSS vs. Louisville
WIN at Pitt
LOSS at Notre Dame
LOSS vs. Clemson
WIN at Boston College
LOSS at Wake Forest
WIN vs. North Carolina

SYRACUSE

CURRENT: 2-1

OVERALL: 4-8
CONFERENCE: 2-6 (6th in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

LOSS at LSU
LOSS at NC State
WIN vs. Pitt
LOSS vs. Clemson
LOSS at Miami (FL)
LOSS at Florida St.
LOSS vs. Wake Forest
LOSS at Louisville
WIN vs. Boston College

WAKE FOREST

CURRENT: 3-0

OVERALL: 6-6
CONFERENCE: 2-6 (5th in Atlantic)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN at Appalachian St.
LOSS vs. Florida St.
LOSS at Clemson
LOSS at Georgia Tech
LOSS vs. Louisville
LOSS at Notre Dame
WIN at Syracuse
LOSS vs. NC State
WIN vs. Duke

 

ACC COASTAL


DUKE

CURRENT: 3-0

OVERALL: 6-6
CONFERENCE: 2-6 (5th in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

LOSS at North Carolina
LOSS vs. Miami (FL)
WIN at Virginia
LOSS vs. Florida St.
WIN vs. Pitt
LOSS at Virginia Tech
WIN at Army
LOSS vs. Georgia Tech
LOSS at Wake Forest

GEORGIA TECH

CURRENT: 1-1

OVERALL: 7-4
CONFERENCE: 6-2 (2nd in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. Pitt
WIN vs. North Carolina
LOSS at Miami (FL)
WIN vs. Wake Forest
LOSS at Clemson
WIN at Virginia
WIN vs. Virginia Tech
WIN at Duke
LOSS vs. Georgia

MIAMI

CURRENT: 1-0

OVERALL: 9-3
CONFERENCE: 7-2 (1st in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. Toledo
WIN at Duke
LOSS at Florida St.
WIN vs. Georgia Tech
WIN vs. Syracuse
WIN at North Carolina
WIN vs. Virginia Tech
LOSS vs. Notre Dame
WIN vs. Virginia
WIN at Pitt
LOSS vs. Clemson (Conference Championship)

NORTH CAROLINA

CURRENT: 1-2

OVERALL: 5-7
CONFERENCE: 3-5 (4th in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. Duke
LOSS at Georgia Tech
LOSS vs. Notre Dame
WIN vs. Virginia
LOSS at Virginia Tech
LOSS vs. Miami (FL)
WIN at Pitt
WIN vs. Western Carolina
LOSS at NC State

PITT

CURRENT: 1-2

OVERALL: 3-9
CONFERENCE: 2-6 (6th in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

LOSS at Georgia Tech
WIN vs. Rice
LOSS at Syracuse
LOSS vs. NC State
LOSS at Duke
WIN vs. Virginia
LOSS vs. North Carolina
LOSS at Virginia Tech
LOSS vs. Miami (FL)

VIRGINIA

CURRENT: 2-1

OVERALL: 2-10
CONFERENCE: 0-8 (7th in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

LOSS at Boise St.
LOSS vs. Duke
LOSS at North Carolina
LOSS vs. Boston College
LOSS at Pitt
LOSS vs. Georgia Tech
LOSS at Louisville
LOSS at Miami (FL)
LOSS vs. Virginia Tech

VIRGINIA TECH

CURRENT: 3-0

OVERALL: 9-3
CONFERENCE: 5-3 (3rd in Coastal)

Remaining Schedule Predictions

WIN vs. Old Dominion
LOSS vs. Clemson
WIN at Boston College
WIN vs. North Carolina
WIN vs. Duke
LOSS at Miami (FL)
LOSS at Georgia Tech
WIN vs. Pitt
WIN at Virginia

Pac-12 Team-by-Team Schedule Predictions

TL;DR – Stanford wins the conference and goes to the Playoff.

The predictions were based on the same advanced statistics ratings I use to rate each week’s games. I did give a slight increase in ratings to the home team of each game.

Bowl Predictions

Utah: ???*
Washington St.: Las Vegas
ASU: Cactus
UCLA: San Francisco
USC: Alamo
Washington: Holiday
Oregon: Sun
Stanford: Playoff (Rose/Sugar)

*Depends on other conferences

Projected Final Standings


North

Team Overall Conference
Stanford 11-1 8-1
Washington 11-1 8-1
Oregon 9-3 6-3
Washington St. 8-4 5-4
Cal 2-10 1-8
Oregon St. 3-9 1-8

South

Team Overall Conference
USC 12-0 9-0
UCLA 8-4 6-3
Utah 6-6 3-6
Arizona St. 6-6 3-6
Colorado 4-8 2-7
Baja 4-8 2-7

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP PREDICTION

Stanford OVER USC

PAC-12 NORTH


CAL

OVERALL: 2-10
CONFERENCE: 1-8 (5th in North)
BOWL: N/A

LOSS at North Carolina
WIN vs. Weber St.
LOSS vs. Ole Miss
LOSS vs. USC
LOSS at Oregon
LOSS at Washington
LOSS vs. Washington St.
LOSS vs. Arizona
LOSS at Colorado
WIN vs. Oregon State
LOSS at Stanford
LOSS at UCLA

OREGON

OVERALL: 9-3
CONFERENCE: 6-3 (3rd in North)
BOWL: Sun

WIN vs. Southern Utah
WIN vs. Nebraska
WIN at Wyoming
WIN at Arizona St.
WIN vs. Cal
WIN vs. Washington St.
LOSS at Stanford
LOSS at UCLA
WIN vs. Utah
LOSS at Washington
WIN vs. Arizona
WIN vs. Oregon St.

OREGON ST.

OVERALL: 3-9
CONFERENCE: 1-8 (6th in North)
BOWL: N/A

LOSS at Colorado St.
WIN vs. Portland St.
WIN vs. Minnesota
LOSS at Washington St.
LOSS vs. Washington
LOSS at USC
WIN vs. Colorado
LOSS vs. Stanford
LOSS at Cal
LOSS at Arizona
LOSS vs. Arizona St.
LOSS at Oregon

STANFORD

OVERALL: 11-1
CONFERENCE: 8-1 (1st in North)
BOWL: Rose/Sugar (Playoff)

WIN vs. Rice
LOSS at USC
WIN at San Diego St.
WIN vs. UCLA
WIN vs. Arizona St.
WIN at Utah
WIN vs. Oregon
WIN at Oregon St.
WIN at Washington St.
WIN vs. Washington
WIN vs. Cal
WIN vs. Notre Dame

WASHINGTON

OVERALL: 11-1
CONFERENCE: 8-1 (2nd in North)
BOWL: Holiday

WIN at Rutgers
WIN vs. Montana
WIN vs. Fresno St.
WIN at Colorado
WIN at Oregon St.
WIN vs. Cal
WIN at Arizona St.
WIN vs. UCLA
WIN vs. Oregon
LOSS at Stanford
WIN vs. Utah
WIN vs. Washington St.

WASHINGTON ST.

OVERALL: 8-4
CONFERENCE: 5-4 (4th in North)
BOWL: Las Vegas

WIN vs. Montana St.
WIN vs. Boise St.
WIN vs. Oregon St.
WIN vs. Nevada
LOSS vs. USC
LOSS at Oregon
WIN at Cal
WIN vs. Colorado
WIN at Arizona
LOSS vs. Stanford
WIN at Utah
LOSS at Washington

PAC-12 SOUTH


TUCSON

OVERALL: 4-8
CONFERENCE: 2-7 (6th in South)
BOWL: N/A

WIN vs. Northern Arizona
LOSS vs. Houston
WIN at UTEP
LOSS vs. Utah
LOSS at Colorado
LOSS vs. UCLA
WIN at California
LOSS vs. Washington St.
LOSS at USC
WIN vs. Oregon St.
LOSS at Oregon
LOSS at Arizona St.

ARIZONA ST.

OVERALL: 6-6
CONFERENCE: 3-6 (4th in South)
BOWL: Cactus

WIN vs. New Mexico St.
WIN vs. San Diego St.
WIN at Texas Tech
LOSS vs. Oregon
LOSS at Stanford
LOSS vs. Washington
LOSS at Utah
LOSS vs. USC
WIN vs. Colorado
LOSS at UCLA
WIN at Oregon St.
WIN vs. Arizona

COLORADO

OVERALL: 4-8
CONFERENCE: 2-7 (5th in South)
BOWL: N/A

LOSS vs. Colorado St.
WIN vs. Texas St.
WIN vs. Northern Colorado
LOSS vs. Washington
LOSS at UCLA
WIN vs. Arizona
LOSS at Oregon St.
LOSS at Washington St.
WIN vs. Cal
LOSS at Arizona St.
LOSS vs. USC
LOSS at Utah

UCLA

OVERALL: 8-4
CONFERENCE: 6-3 (2nd in South)
BOWL: San Francisco

LOSS vs. Texas A&M
WIN vs. Hawaii
WIN at Memphis
LOSS at Stanford
WIN vs. Colorado
WIN at Arizona
WIN vs. Oregon
LOSS at Washington
WIN at Utah
WIN vs. Arizona St.
LOSS at USC
WIN vs. Cal

USC

OVERALL: 12-0
CONFERENCE: 9-0 (1st in South)
BOWL: Alamo

WIN vs. Western Michigan
WIN vs. Stanford
WIN vs. Texas
WIN at Cal
WIN at Washington St.
WIN vs. Oregon St.
WIN vs. Utah
WIN at Notre Dame
WIN at Arizona St.
WIN vs. Arizona
WIN at Colorado
WIN vs. UCLA
WIN vs. Stanford

Utah

OVERALL: 6-6
CONFERENCE: 3-6 (3rd in South)
BOWL: ???

WIN vs. North Dakota
WIN at BYU
WIN vs. San Jose St.
WIN at Arizona
LOSS vs. Stanford
LOSS at USC
WIN vs. Arizona St.
LOSS at Oregon
LOSS vs. UCLA
LOSS vs. Washington St.
LOSS at Washington
WIN vs. Colorado